TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a6c…741f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$27.66
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$350.01
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.2%+$48.72
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78.24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$503.15
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+181.4%+$525.96
Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$255.89
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+470.7%+$321.8
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.4%+$285.95
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$259.99
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$912.77
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,727Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+175.1%+$3,022.6
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+292.6%+$182.91
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+111.7%+$331.5
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+153.5%+$84.01
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.88
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$499.46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$112.17
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,731.66
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$327.39
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$69.59
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81.06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,951.61
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.81
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.32
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.54
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.38
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$218.51
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+208.7%+$27.42
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.75
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$226.75
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+138.4%+$5,224.99
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+138.1%+$696
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Over 150,000 bidders in the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$118.86
All 23 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$347.48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$753.46
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$70.39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,095Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$407.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40%+$56.72
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$1,640.95
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$1,129.15
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$263.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$241.72
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+71.1%+$353.95
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.39
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,115.5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.43
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+341.3%+$61.84
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.03
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.8
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$310.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$86.09
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$395.13
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+230.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+561.5%+$2,795.32
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.04
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.91
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+171%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+171%+$569.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+42.9%+$50.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the Sinquefield Cup 2025 chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.