TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$865,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$859,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $865,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c283,118$129,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129,290.5353253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under55c240,883$132,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,397.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under53c132,431$70,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,061.412055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under55c57,037$31,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,603.465154.9%28 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over46c43,669$19,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,878.0973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over45c41,934$18,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,983.342638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over45c36,058$16,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,230.844148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Under54c33,814$18,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,554.43944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c30,950$13,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,967.683147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Over46c30,000$13,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,70023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Over46c23,590$10,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,901.1927454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c20,146$9,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,068.3647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Over44c20,094$8,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,841.561741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,800728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Over45c20,000$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,899.993033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Over45c19,865$8,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,939.255837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over45c19,576$8,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,809333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over45c18,300$8,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,2351145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Over45c16,737$7,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,531.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under55c10,500$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7252263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c10,156$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,768.0154451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4004358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50024053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5248…aabbbacked Over47c9,999$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.531181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+55.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over45c9,476$4,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Over44c9,200$4,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,047.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+73.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Under54c8,880$4,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under54c8,579$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.211457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c8,402$4,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,781.0639447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c7,515$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,191.4350242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Over45c7,000$3,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1705536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Under56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.1410648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2507464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed Over45c4,740$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1532437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Over45c4,700$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1151637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Over47c4,477$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.1813641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under55c4,266$2,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.721,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under55c4,108$2,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,848.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Over45c3,801$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,710.45922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c2…f627backed Over48c3,600$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c08…445dbacked Under52c3,600$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under56c3,271$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.5226547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Over46c3,074$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.232626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Over45c3,067$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Over45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under54c2,954$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.975141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over10c2,807$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.751145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Over46c2,778$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2651450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Over45c2,760$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.121735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Under55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Under56c2,695$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under54c2,645$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.865754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under56c2,573$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.488454.8%46 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Under56c2,400$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0568035%28 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a0…ff20backed Under55c2,336$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d4…373bbacked Under56c2,275$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over45c2,178$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over45c2,100$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96039242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.420661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c1,739$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.611,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under56c1,679$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.571850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c1,563$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.446251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed Over46c1,518$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over46c1,500$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69019543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3f…9b74backed Under54c1,396$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under55c1,381$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.232638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over46c1,363$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under55c1,260$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.949855.1%54 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Under74c1,224$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.973053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c1,176$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.226649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Under55c1,091$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under67c1,043$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.073655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46041540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47026648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Over45c990.07$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6532…55f3backed Under3c984.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.821100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+2,841.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked Over45c977.4$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Over27c903.69$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Over45c880.98$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39516254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over10c805.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.751225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under54c800$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3711926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602548%12 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54b…8a63backed Over47c768$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.96812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd306…ac40backed Over46c748.57$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over44c729$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.761758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Under14c709$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.034515.6%7 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick2cpaid+931.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over44c700.24$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1127633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Under55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.