Token Launches · resolved market
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddb9cb5ed5fee2e9f74052f61f62e9cc31e59a90b0db646a4033885709dadbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca03…91b8backed No | 13c | 14,710$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48a…dc27backed No | 2c | 11,350$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 14c | 9,546$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.61 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…cc13backed No | 1c | 6,001$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…a563backed No | 17c | 5,604$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.05 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…c0d2backed No | 1c | 3,394$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 5c | 2,664$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked No | 17c | 2,355$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 4c | 2,040$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8626backed No | 5c | 2,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +190.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…ea87backed No | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 12c | 1,957$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.21 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…ec01backed Yes | 73c | 1,900$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 18c | 1,551$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 14c | 1,485$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.15 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 19c | 1,470$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.21 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,440$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked No | 21c | 1,188$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked No | 16c | 1,135$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.55 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…ff9bbacked No | 5c | 1,111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked No | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 9c | 999.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 982.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed No | 32c | 928.71$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 22c | 926.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…b3f4backed No | 16c | 823.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.36 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…5798backed No | 12c | 711.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…692cbacked Yes | 77c | 607.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…6dc4backed No | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 3c | 461.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked No | 17c | 444.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…4964backed Yes | 75c | 423.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…f496backed No | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…97ddbacked No | 16c | 374.08$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…6b4fbacked No | 15c | 366.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…020abacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…61e1backed No | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked No | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 271.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…974bbacked No | 17c | 264.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…b501backed No | 7c | 259.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed No | 5c | 253.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 12cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed No | 19c | 233.47$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed No | 19c | 232.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 8c | 225.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79b…8deebacked No | 5c | 224.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked No | 20c | 222.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked No | 9c | 217.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…78a7backed No | 16c | 214.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0f…dc63backed Yes | 79c | 206.93$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 77c | 200.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed No | 19c | 185.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 16c | 183.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…8349backed No | 16c | 181.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked No | 19c | 176.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 10c | 174.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…90e4backed No | 21c | 170.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc973…dbc7backed No | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 156.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked No | 18c | 149.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…8e8dbacked No | 15c | 137.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked No | 16c | 137.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d64…a5e5backed Yes | 80c | 135.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…daa5backed No | 21c | 126.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…b066backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5db1backed No | 14c | 119.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…5e02backed No | 19c | 106.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed No | 10c | 106.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…efa3backed No | 17c | 103.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…c9a9backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…6ee6backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b1…fa4cbacked Yes | 78c | 99.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…d011backed Yes | 74c | 98.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 20c | 88.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb9…148ebacked No | 20c | 88.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…b2bdbacked No | 15c | 87.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d1…3052backed No | 18c | 84.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…b3aebacked No | 17c | 73.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…76f5backed No | 19c | 67.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +263.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…17d6backed No | 16c | 67.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…e75dbacked Yes | 78c | 62.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…5c9abacked No | 19c | 55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…6504backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…59c5backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?this page
- Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes won
- Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.