NFL · resolved market
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc20539b2657e47698ebc4e98e90a0a60bc7f242969cf18a6af5bf760a75f6e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $223,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 27c | 96,396$25,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,955.27 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 16c | 11,637$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Yes | 12c | 6,982$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.45 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 50c | 5,032$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…3d64backed Yes | 13c | 4,532$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.23 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 14c | 4,000$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 3,646$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.45 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 18c | 2,242$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,826$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…ee8abacked Yes | 36c | 1,511$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Yes | 34c | 1,500$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed Yes | 1c | 1,452$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 17c | 1,417$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…b6a1backed Yes | 14c | 1,287$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 11c | 1,246$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…0a88backed Yes | 18c | 1,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,051$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.88 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 40c | 1,030$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 20c | 999.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes | 45c | 899.99$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…d8cabacked Yes | 12c | 860.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 62c | 800$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…910abacked Yes | 2c | 798.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 10c | 787.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…7421backed Yes | 13c | 777.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 740.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 17c | 736.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…46c4backed Yes | 9c | 725.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Yes | 79c | 682.9$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 16c | 682.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 78c | 638.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 74c | 630.54$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 12c | 605.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0863…4eccbacked Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Yes | 19c | 600$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.75 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 65c | 506.86$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…312fbacked Yes | 3c | 417.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…cdcdbacked No | 73c | 400$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e2…92b9backed Yes | 13c | 359.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…fe78backed Yes | 28c | 348.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 17c | 316.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 270.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…125bbacked Yes | 20c | 246.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked Yes | 21c | 245.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 9c | 232.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…8798backed Yes | 22c | 229.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…2930backed Yes | 17c | 217.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 16c | 201.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…7a08backed Yes | 16c | 189.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 33cpaid | -84%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…76c9backed Yes | 21c | 187.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9056…9754backed Yes | 14c | 179.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…9a0dbacked Yes | 18c | 170.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…cb14backed Yes | 10c | 153.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0e…407abacked Yes | 14c | 139.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Yes | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 130.16$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…b0ebbacked Yes | 18c | 112.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…108bbacked Yes | 18c | 111.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…7ac5backed Yes | 36c | 110.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…ad8cbacked Yes | 10c | 109.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 54c | 105.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…8810backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…58e4backed Yes | 20c | 103.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b89…fafcbacked Yes | 24c | 102.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4806…d870backed Yes | 13c | 102.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1686…a858backed Yes | 18c | 100.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…5d05backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 13c | 88.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 80c | 79.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…eddabacked Yes | 20c | 74.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691d…4e84backed Yes | 15c | 73.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f6…644bbacked No | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…2e74backed No | 75c | 68.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe049…b683backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…8e06backed No | 74c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa901…95efbacked Yes | 22c | 48.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bb…6ad8backed Yes | 43c | 46.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…310ebacked Yes | 38c | 39.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c2…94c0backed No | 59c | 33.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…0f37backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 12.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?this page
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last at least 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?Yes won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 140 and 150 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 80 and 90 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 90 and 100 seconds?No won
- Will the Super Bowl national anthem last less than 80 seconds?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.