Token Launches · resolved market
WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf174491ff042ddaf0be75036ad5ba1899b35a4c8fe3146a75752f5da0d6193b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d3e…5c4ebacked No | 19c | 49,420$9,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked No | 41c | 36,006$14,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,589.24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…795cbacked Yes | 51c | 31,636$16,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,431.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed No | 4c | 25,937$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed No | 11c | 20,654$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…ce36backed Yes | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 72c | 13,710$9,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…000dbacked No | 14c | 13,008$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…9906backed Yes | 73c | 12,949$9,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 75c | 10,000$7,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.24 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 18c | 8,082$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.85 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…2907backed No | 9c | 7,200$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…bbf7backed No | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…f72fbacked Yes | 55c | 6,894$3,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de1…5decbacked Yes | 67c | 5,991$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…28acbacked Yes | 80c | 5,989$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 5,896$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.59 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Yes | 56c | 5,033$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed Yes | 65c | 4,232$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…e255backed Yes | 55c | 4,177$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea5…766fbacked No | 9c | 3,973$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…e5d7backed Yes | 76c | 3,954$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed Yes | 55c | 3,941$2,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 77c | 3,333$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.59 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…5a98backed No | 6c | 3,015$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…5ea8backed Yes | 72c | 2,947$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 56c | 2,850$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…6696backed No | 10c | 2,812$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff7…95e5backed No | 38c | 2,579$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…43e2backed No | 45c | 2,527$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551b…dfd1backed Yes | 77c | 2,513$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 27c | 2,506$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 79c | 2,344$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.21 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 16c | 2,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.4 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f72fbacked No | 7c | 2,082$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…42eebacked Yes | 55c | 1,967$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a3…9768backed No | 54c | 1,840$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…791abacked No | 8c | 1,732$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 32c | 1,677$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.46 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 4c | 1,550$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…0be2backed Yes | 63c | 1,492$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a25…3a4dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,448$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 54c | 1,397$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.61 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf623…bb2cbacked No | 49c | 1,300$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d64…0100backed Yes | 79c | 1,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…56ecbacked Yes | 80c | 1,273$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…68dbbacked Yes | 58c | 1,256$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…5328backed No | 10c | 1,172$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 9c | 1,135$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…a53fbacked No | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,056$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…1430backed No | 11c | 1,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked Yes | 62c | 994.99$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed No | 47c | 942.43$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…93abbacked No | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 11c | 850$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…0d92backed No | 50c | 840.1$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…3ffebacked Yes | 54c | 831.39$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…7bf0backed Yes | 60c | 809.85$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 9c | 799.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…d212backed No | 47c | 798.3$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked No | 42c | 749.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 59c | 609.9$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 10c | 579.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eca…0d68backed No | 56c | 571.43$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 53c | 565.3$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed No | 11c | 535.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5323backed Yes | 56c | 533.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 54c | 530.57$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2197…f52dbacked No | 58c | 499.82$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 76c | 484.03$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed No | 28c | 457.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…fdaebacked Yes | 44c | 452.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…9422backed No | 24c | 431.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked No | 50c | 406$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked No | 50c | 404$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…a0b2backed No | 50c | 401.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…6fbabacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed No | 21c | 364$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…d33cbacked Yes | 54c | 349.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 61c | 346$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…6c89backed No | 28c | 339.62$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…8741backed Yes | 58c | 329.47$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked No | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed No | 5c | 308.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked No | 45c | 293.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked No | 9c | 283.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked Yes | 58c | 283$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.86 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5b…6e33backed No | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…bb15backed Yes | 67c | 271$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18b…8324backed No | 5c | 267.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…56f2backed No | 46c | 265.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcf…cacdbacked Yes | 59c | 256.42$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed No | 47c | 240.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 44c | 239.97$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?this page
- WLFI market cap (FDV) $10-12B one day after launch?No won
- WLFI market cap (FDV) $12-14B one day after launch?No won
- WLFI market cap (FDV) $14-16B one day after launch?No won
- WLFI market cap (FDV) <$10B one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.