Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eff77c559ceb1141d32741d418b923b613b84d5a6e701d22466bb374b20156a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,516,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,354,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 48c | 70,672$33,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,998.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked No | 6c | 49,698$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.29 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed No | 9c | 35,512$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,259.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 50c | 28,526$14,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,262.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 23,985$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.12 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 8c | 23,735$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.47 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…000cbacked No | 1c | 23,177$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc628…54f0backed No | 8c | 21,532$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed No | 3c | 21,000$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 14c | 19,566$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed No | 15c | 18,764$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 27c | 17,258$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.53 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed No | 21c | 15,846$3,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 15c | 14,817$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,242.71 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…b37ebacked No | 2c | 14,224$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.87 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…d207backed No | 9c | 14,154$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Yes | 65c | 13,275$8,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e03…d5ecbacked No | 4c | 12,431$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 7c | 12,005$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.58 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked No | 1c | 11,743$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…8f19backed No | 3c | 11,715$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…bd3bbacked No | 4c | 10,735$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.37 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…96c2backed Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +124.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…f434backed No | 7c | 9,923$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 25c | 9,806$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 26cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 15c | 9,472$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.83 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed No | 5c | 9,410$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe003…f9b5backed No | 33c | 9,075$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 8,951$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.02 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 18c | 8,831$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed No | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8522…9215backed No | 27c | 7,880$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed No | 1c | 7,372$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…07c0backed No | 5c | 7,329$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 20c | 7,185$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…cf40backed No | 4c | 7,047$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed No | 7c | 6,632$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 10c | 6,520$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.78 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba7d…eb40backed Yes | 70c | 6,510$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed No | 3c | 6,404$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 6,353$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 19c | 6,198$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.14 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…8189backed No | 16c | 6,089$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Yes | 80c | 5,903$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed No | 28c | 5,871$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 77c | 5,830$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 18c | 5,684$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 9c | 5,659$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.82 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…ec31backed No | 15c | 5,595$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 44cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…473bbacked No | 0c | 5,515$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…abf6backed No | 10c | 5,398$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…6c41backed No | 11c | 5,299$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…b3afbacked No | 12c | 5,246$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked No | 10c | 5,216$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked No | 6c | 5,123$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…6a5cbacked No | 5c | 5,000$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed No | 17c | 5,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed No | 45c | 5,000$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6453…5553backed Yes | 52c | 4,855$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…f529backed No | 14c | 4,759$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No | 21c | 4,622$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…ce0bbacked No | 23c | 4,593$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…7befbacked No | 45c | 4,474$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked No | 26c | 4,297$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 53c | 3,957$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed No | 3c | 3,900$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa03e…269bbacked Yes | 78c | 3,844$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…14efbacked Yes | 76c | 3,815$2,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 29c | 3,799$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b79…b838backed Yes | 75c | 3,712$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.65 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…c7b1backed No | 14c | 3,688$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…9a71backed Yes | 72c | 3,633$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…13eebacked No | 10c | 3,592$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 42cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 35c | 3,562$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…3b76backed No | 30c | 3,382$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 27c | 3,360$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked No | 10c | 3,247$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…3b6abacked Yes | 62c | 3,055$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…4d56backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…8f87backed No | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7f…3775backed No | 13c | 2,972$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.31 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,964$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.6 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…34aebacked Yes | 80c | 2,944$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…c4dbbacked No | 5c | 2,859$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 12c | 2,800$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 59c | 2,800$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…d6f0backed No | 14c | 2,576$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed No | 12c | 2,569$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 10c | 2,509$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.49 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…e711backed Yes | 61c | 2,448$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…f3d0backed Yes | 66c | 2,409$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e50…487bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,405$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 3c | 2,354$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed No | 39c | 2,263$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf68…a25ebacked Yes | 45c | 2,238$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 60c | 2,222$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 7c | 2,205$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 37c | 2,198$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed No | 2c | 2,194$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…5074backed Yes | 45c | 2,166$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.