Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Portland Pilots vs. San Diego Toreros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b58b021a2ed7c9c7fe105aad6c5325bcd909c4048bd07ad66d38ef63a2c03b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Torerosof Portland Pilots, San Diego Toreros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Portland Pilots | 5c | 1,200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Portland Pilots | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Portland Pilots | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Portland Pilots | 47c | 59.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Portland Pilots | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Portland Pilots | 61c | 46.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed San Diego Toreros | 51c | 44.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Portland Pilots | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Portland Pilots | 47c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland Pilots | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…f111backed San Diego Toreros | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Portland Pilots | 45c | 29.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed San Diego Toreros | 53c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed San Diego Toreros | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…def5backed San Diego Toreros | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…ceadbacked San Diego Toreros | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…23f3backed San Diego Toreros | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.