NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x240c7db67ea8f1f6833f700ae33bc9aac6ff0d0dfa7defaf35eb5984c5a21543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Golden Knights, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $710,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $733,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,068 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Golden Knights | 39c | 124,000$48,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,819.96 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sabres | 57c | 97,343$55,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,857.51 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 65,810$28,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,948.43 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 57c | 50,798$28,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,028.32 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 67c | 48,069$32,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,920.25 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 31,653$14,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,243.86 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Golden Knights | 43c | 20,136$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,624.74 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 43c | 16,946$7,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,252.9 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 55c | 13,717$7,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.64 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 57c | 11,467$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,955.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Golden Knights | 43c | 11,246$4,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,803.33 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 19c | 11,042$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 57c | 10,976$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.16 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 61c | 10,500$6,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sabres | 56c | 10,292$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,528.66 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Golden Knights | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 57c | 9,102$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,913.75 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 8,465$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.6 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Sabres | 56c | 7,501$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.35 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sabres | 56c | 6,835$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.27 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sabres | 55c | 6,666$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.7 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Golden Knights | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Golden Knights | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Golden Knights | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.97 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Golden Knights | 27c | 5,984$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.12 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 5,898$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.34 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sabres | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sabres | 57c | 5,300$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Golden Knights | 42c | 5,208$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.27 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 71c | 5,159$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Sabres | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres | 56c | 4,820$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.54 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 4,700$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 56c | 4,674$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.59 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 4,595$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.89 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Sabres | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 4,081$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.42 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 4,054$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.82 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Sabres | 75c | 4,033$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Golden Knights | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 26c | 3,883$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.58 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sabres | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 56c | 3,456$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.64 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…efd9backed Sabres | 57c | 3,368$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.42 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,246$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Sabres | 57c | 3,193$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Sabres | 74c | 2,806$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.96 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…31bcbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,787$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Golden Knights | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.98 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.95 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Golden Knights | 44c | 2,400$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.61 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 28c | 2,272$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,156$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.08 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…324abacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,960$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…4f7ebacked Sabres | 56c | 1,960$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6c…7023backed Sabres | 56c | 1,955$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adf…6ce6backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,955$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…f51cbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,920$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d42fbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,920$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Sabres | 56c | 1,883$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.53 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Golden Knights | 23c | 1,855$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.09 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…2188backed Sabres | 56c | 1,855$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71fc…5327backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,855$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e3…b177backed Sabres | 56c | 1,840$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…a969backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,840$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 23c | 1,836$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…2515backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,830$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…1d80backed Sabres | 56c | 1,830$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,814$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Golden Knights | 8c | 1,792$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 76c | 1,612$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.45 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506f…e8c8backed Sabres | 56c | 1,605$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…3048backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,605$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…199bbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,525$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…31fcbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,525$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,500$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.53 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Golden Knights | 12c | 1,443$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.12 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa5…b2bfbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,430$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…31ddbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,430$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aae…4ffdbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,430$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da4…6ae2backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,430$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086e…ce3fbacked Golden Knights | 44c | 1,325$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…89d5backed Sabres | 56c | 1,325$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sabres | 57c | 1,288$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.7 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Golden Knights | 24c | 1,268$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 29c | 1,241$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.67 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Sabres | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…b824backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,220$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d4…ff98backed Sabres | 56c | 1,220$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.8 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 1,130$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 53c | 1,127$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.81 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,125$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.12 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 56c | 1,098$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.76 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…8055backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,085$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Sabresthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.