Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff4abc7a0e42e78a9a156478376199c5bf2d21b4e55969ded22d8e98fa6caa39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 35c | 65,641$22,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,974.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 65c | 47,236$30,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,507.85 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 77c | 43,230$33,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,942.83 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 35,601$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400.36 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 65c | 33,264$21,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,642.33 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 35c | 5,100$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Under | 80c | 3,079$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.3 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 34c | 2,573$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.82 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…8d9bbacked Over | 33c | 1,722$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 28c | 1,700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 6c | 1,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,457$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 27c | 878.2$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.88 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 15c | 833$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 72c | 711.96$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 65c | 617.32$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 66c | 546.39$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 17c | 530.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 28c | 504.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…191abacked Over | 32c | 430$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 27c | 370.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 33c | 333.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…b5a7backed Under | 68c | 330$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 35c | 309$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 33c | 299.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 286.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b4…8e3fbacked Over | 33c | 281$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 74c | 256.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 34c | 235.56$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Under | 68c | 232.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 32c | 197$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 65c | 186.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 182$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 35c | 181.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 75c | 160.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 35c | 154.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 35c | 152$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 33c | 150.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 34c | 149.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Over | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed Over | 36c | 126.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Under | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 27c | 116.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 65c | 113.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 35c | 111.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 17c | 105.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 33c | 101$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4510…bdb8backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 34c | 93.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…3512backed Under | 66c | 87.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4730…cdb1backed Under | 66c | 87.44$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 76c | 85.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4766…0a29backed Over | 15c | 84.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 33c | 83.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 35c | 79.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf86…12dabacked Over | 35c | 74.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Over | 26c | 70.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 35c | 68.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 25c | 63.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 33c | 54.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657e…e62fbacked Over | 35c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Under | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 66c | 47.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 33c | 47.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 34c | 47.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 35c | 45.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…519fbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 26c | 42.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…c07bbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Under | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.