TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,458
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,987

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,458 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Over35c65,641$22,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,974.42552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under65c47,236$30,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,507.858354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under77c43,230$33,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,942.8321058.6%123 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c35,601$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400.362,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under65c33,264$21,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,642.339350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under65c9,000$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,149.995550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over35c5,100$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78545547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Under80c3,079$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.32263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05016045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over34c2,573$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.8240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2472…8d9bbacked Over33c1,722$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.26450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over28c1,700$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.91837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over6c1,673$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c1,457$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over27c878.2$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c833$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.954247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under72c711.96$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under65c617.32$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.064748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under66c546.39$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over17c530.47$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over28c504.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.192842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.558757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf4…191abacked Over32c430$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over27c370.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over33c333.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f8…b5a7backed Under68c330$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over35c309$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1516046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25e…f458backed Over33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over33c299.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c286.6$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.657220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b4…8e3fbacked Over33c281$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under74c256.98$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over34c235.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under68c232.31$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.923860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over32c197$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0613648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under65c186.43$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over35c182$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over35c181.43$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Under75c160.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over35c154.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under65c153.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8433144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.219542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over33c150.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.519750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over34c149.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.993259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Over35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed Over36c126.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.53458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a93…390cbacked Over33c125$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1511460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over23c120$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.122045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over27c116.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.528940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under65c113.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.92552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over35c111.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.073447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over17c105.04$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.865740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.338439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4510…bdb8backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352259.1%13 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over34c93.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5115847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Under66c87.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+52.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Under66c87.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303070%21 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Under76c85.5$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4766…0a29backed Over15c84.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over33c83.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.796956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2846047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over35c79.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.831020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf86…12dabacked Over35c74.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Over26c70.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.124955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over35c68.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.915246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over25c63.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92050%10 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over33c54.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.892240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over35c53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.551844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Under66c47.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Over33c47.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.823330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over34c47.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8128458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over35c45.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0926040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e6…519fbacked Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Under66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.452171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over32c43.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over26c42.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a14…c07bbacked Under66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over33c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29240.2%37 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over34c39.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.621251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed Under65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.