Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57ff073f570fb005d75181759da8fee057bc71d5da9792b6a1249553def06dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 5,058$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 44c | 1,672$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.13 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes | 44c | 999.96$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 34c | 825.7$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.37 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 570.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Yes | 21c | 511.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 56c | 456.25$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 43c | 233.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 43c | 233.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 211.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.76 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 190.86$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 45c | 176.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0497…c5e3backed Yes | 33c | 158.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 122.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…aad8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 19c | 88.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 43c | 82.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 32c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 20c | 73.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 43c | 62.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b4…7ef9backed Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…519fbacked Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 67c | 53.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 46.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 68c | 46.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…31bbbacked Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 45c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 42c | 40.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 58c | 37.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Yes | 42c | 35.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked No | 56c | 34.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 57c | 33.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 55c | 31.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 23.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 56c | 23.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…4381backed Yes | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 58c | 21.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.