Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e4e8db21656bf810bfe3054222e6a3c5574e302d0886c6609801fc1dafbc15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 16,384$9,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,135 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Over | 28c | 3,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 61c | 3,330$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.49 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 3,310$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.06 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 20c | 1,974$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.53 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 59c | 1,824$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.78 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 32c | 1,559$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.27 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Under | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 39c | 1,250$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.39 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 51c | 1,044$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.34 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 60c | 1,001$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 32c | 999$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 57c | 942.57$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.58 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 23c | 886.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.45 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 40c | 688$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25e…f458backed Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 37c | 610.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.85 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 581.16$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Under | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 63c | 479.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 60c | 473.03$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 52c | 467.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Over | 60c | 419.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 38c | 408$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 63c | 398.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.76 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 355.32$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 57c | 335$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.49 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 290.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 60c | 287.28$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 60c | 285.6$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 15c | 264$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 38c | 263.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 67c | 252.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…d1a3backed Under | 41c | 231.71$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 220$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 207.8$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Over | 61c | 200.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 42c | 197.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 38c | 159.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 39c | 158.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 150.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.41 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +126%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…e0d2backed Over | 60c | 129.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 42c | 125.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +65%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…8cc7backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 37c | 105.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 102.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 100.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 36c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…47a1backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 61c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 23c | 75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 50c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 15c | 73.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Under | 40c | 66.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 63c | 60.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 50c | 59.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 38c | 56.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe480…ee6cbacked Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…519fbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…5baabacked Over | 62c | 49.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 59c | 49.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 61c | 49.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…c9eebacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 59c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…d40bbacked Over | 60c | 47.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa260…e820backed Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 50c | 46.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 61c | 44.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 95 | 76.8%73 W · 22 L | +20.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5this page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)US Lecce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.