Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bb52f809a1195fc808c09c05b021e5d8b673a3d7fa2de30c150beab2a659cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 198,586$100,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,935.89 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 100,000$49,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,000 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 20,992$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,715.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.98 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 18,190$8,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228.28 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 16,991$8,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.26 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 12,222$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,233.22 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 11,369$5,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,252.7 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 53c | 11,321$5,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,978.21 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…2079backed Over | 53c | 10,652$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 10,146$5,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,123.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 47c | 8,600$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.09 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Under | 49c | 7,116$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.1 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 55c | 6,676$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 46c | 4,999$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 54c | 4,755$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Over | 55c | 4,545$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Under | 47c | 4,202$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Under | 49c | 3,956$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 3,307$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.5 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Under | 47c | 3,202$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.18 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 3,113$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.23 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Over | 53c | 2,672$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 2,202$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.06 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 2,002$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.3 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…cc49backed Over | 53c | 1,885$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,601$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.22 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 46c | 1,576$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.99 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Under | 64c | 1,406$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,220$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.38 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 52c | 1,150$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.02 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,115$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.5 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…c97fbacked Under | 58c | 1,011$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 47c | 802.51$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.33 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 53c | 800$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 686.79$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72c…3febbacked Over | 24c | 652.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 33c | 611.24$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Under | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 553.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.29 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 50c | 540$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 36c | 519.41$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 506.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 49c | 470$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.7 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Under | 45c | 435.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Under | 77c | 428.16$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 53c | 377.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 367.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 48c | 362.5$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 40c | 362.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.08 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked Under | 50c | 340$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…17a4backed Under | 79c | 302.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 298.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…e2a2backed Under | 46c | 288$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 51c | 285.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…29dcbacked Under | 72c | 280.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 63c | 274.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 49c | 245.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…ce19backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 64c | 229.16$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 162 | 33.3%54 W · 108 L | -14.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 216.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.