Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a017bb7c94914fdb348b085db33d7b53b43bf9739f8444d038987d8a7eb9ea1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 24c | 3,770$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.96 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 76c | 2,309$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.64 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,343$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.8 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 1,213$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 974.05$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 807.86$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.54 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 75c | 756.68$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.17 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 598.44$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 54c | 370.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 362.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 329.97$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…b193backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 24c | 198.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 40c | 187.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…1fa0backed Yes | 70c | 143.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…e6c7backed Yes | 47c | 121.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…4766backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 52c | 95.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 31c | 74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 64.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 76c | 63.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 53.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 37c | 48.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked No | 54c | 36.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 33c | 35.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 33.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 54c | 26.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…c9d2backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.