Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9232f1299acb9a0587a4f2bebd6cb6441926ec2eb0f1cbcba9e1d62e18a6ad9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 19c | 5,100$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 1,992$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.22 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 80c | 1,288$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,030$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.03 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 21c | 941.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 19c | 925.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 38c | 743$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.34 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 676.43$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 41c | 528.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 528.11$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.53 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…d590backed Yes | 20c | 501.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked No | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 78c | 346.96$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 213.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 178.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e20…ac93backed No | 65c | 165.78$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 204 | 25%51 W · 153 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Yes | 38c | 105.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…349fbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 101$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 191 | 45%86 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7561…5ed6backed Yes | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 39c | 90.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed No | 62c | 85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 18c | 68.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7654backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 19c | 57.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +68%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 61c | 55.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…1ad4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Yes | 41c | 48.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 61c | 44.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 26.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 65c | 25.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9e90backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…09b7backed No | 61c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 79c | 12.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.