NHL · resolved market

Capitals vs. Flyers

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca161b6f71f7adfad0e7ad0d94642f54137deaea127b6c9d118b9c99e6015bf

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Flyersof Capitals, Flyers
Resolved: Feb 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,186,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,568,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186,916 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,477 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Flyers	55c	322,308$178,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143,507.44	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Capitals	46c	300,000$138,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137,999.98	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals	44c	287,394$125,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125,871.18	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Flyers	54c	232,948$126,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,857.51	561	52%292 W · 269 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Flyers	56c	180,159$100,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,270.03	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Flyers	56c	150,000$84,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66,000	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Flyers	56c	150,000$84,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,999.96	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Capitals	44c	124,410$54,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,440.6	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Capitals	45c	102,151$45,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,469.96	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Flyers	54c	61,899$33,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,314.47	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals	44c	61,223$26,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,937.93	243	49.8%121 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Capitals	45c	53,573$23,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,983.91	1,948	49.4%962 W · 986 L	+24.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Capitals	44c	50,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,000	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flyers	56c	47,721$26,851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,870	95	48.4%46 W · 49 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Capitals	45c	44,444$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Capitals	44c	32,741$14,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,404.57	224	43.8%98 W · 126 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Capitals	45c	30,000$13,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,500	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals	44c	22,221$9,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,832.68	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Capitals	44c	19,030$8,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,454.52	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Capitals	44c	18,888$8,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,310.72	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Capitals	42c	15,443$6,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,451.88	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals	44c	15,000$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.99	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Capitals	44c	13,007$5,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,761.34	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Capitals	41c	12,354$5,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,121.17	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Flyers	55c	12,147$6,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,476.73	133	63.2%84 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3644…6fdfbacked Capitals	44c	11,295$4,970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,969.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Flyers	57c	10,530$6,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,527.9	151	45%68 W · 83 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers	55c	10,188$5,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,533.93	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Flyers	54c	10,097$5,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,644.67	939	53.6%503 W · 436 L	+29.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Capitals	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Flyers	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	329	46.8%154 W · 175 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Flyers	56c	10,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.98	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Capitals	44c	10,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.98	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Capitals	25c	9,892$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Capitals	45c	9,500$4,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,275	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Flyers	56c	9,000$5,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,989.94	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Flyers	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,928.57	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers	54c	8,776$4,739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,037.15	479	51.4%246 W · 233 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Capitals	44c	7,906$3,479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,478.64	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Capitals	15c	7,615$1,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.26	218	56.4%123 W · 95 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Flyers	56c	7,000$3,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,079.98	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals	44c	7,000$3,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,079.97	632	49.5%313 W · 319 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Capitals	44c	6,949$3,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,047.67	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals	45c	6,500$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,925	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Flyers	52c	6,000$3,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Flyers	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.98	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers	76c	5,907$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.26	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Capitals	44c	5,747$2,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,528.74	182	58.2%106 W · 76 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Flyers	55c	5,500$3,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,474.98	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers	54c	5,213$2,815 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,397.89	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Capitals	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,200	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Flyers	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	139	48.2%67 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Flyers	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	108	48.1%52 W · 56 L	-5.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Flyers	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flyers	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,249.94	836	52.8%441 W · 395 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Flyers	55c	4,841$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,178.4	566	49.5%280 W · 286 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…d67abacked Capitals	45c	4,689$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked Capitals	44c	4,598$2,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.99	86	64%55 W · 31 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers	56c	4,556$2,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.64	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Flyers	57c	4,400$2,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Capitals	44c	3,759$1,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,662.23	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals	45c	3,555$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.75	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Capitals	44c	3,551$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.3	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Capitals	45c	3,333$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Capitals	45c	3,333$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Capitals	44c	3,281$1,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.06	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Capitals	45c	3,244$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	269	46.1%124 W · 145 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Capitals	44c	3,143$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Capitals	45c	3,111$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.02	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Capitals	44c	3,059$1,346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Capitals	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	86	50%43 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Flyers	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.96	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flyers	55c	2,999$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.61	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Capitals	22c	2,885$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.61	69	40.6%28 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Flyers	56c	2,679$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.57	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals	44c	2,500$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	540	47.6%257 W · 283 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e04…0fa9backed Capitals	45c	2,484$1,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,117.9	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Flyers	56c	2,400$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,055.99	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Flyers	57c	2,326$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	58	56.9%33 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Capitals	44c	2,300$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	229	46.3%106 W · 123 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flyers	66c	2,292$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.88	1,301	52.6%684 W · 617 L	+23.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Flyers	56c	2,288$1,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.31	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Capitals	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	-7.9wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals	26c	2,245$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.5	950	49.1%466 W · 484 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Capitals	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	281	52%146 W · 135 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Flyers	55c	2,098$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$934.32	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5270…1c23backed Flyers	56c	2,080$1,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$915.2	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b1…20b3backed Capitals	44c	2,070$911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Flyers	66c	2,037$1,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.21	393	44.8%176 W · 217 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Capitals	46c	2,000$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910	623	46.9%292 W · 331 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Capitals	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b0…df60backed Capitals	45c	1,887$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-5.4wins	-0.30per pick	58cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa383…417cbacked Flyers	55c	1,825$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a5…134abacked Capitals	46c	1,825$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.48	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Capitals	44c	1,804$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.68	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Capitals	45c	1,799$810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.59	139	54%75 W · 64 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Capitals	44c	1,705$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Capitals	44c	1,699$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.47	269	55.8%150 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers	68c	1,658$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$536.43	1,354	52.6%712 W · 642 L	+46.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Flyers	54c	1,631$883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.01	162	54.9%89 W · 73 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Capitals vs. Flyersthis page
Capitals vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Capitals vs. Flyers

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event