NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc05a5c2abaddec7c8feca44a7a3b0044dfb93ba4bacd6ed3a4f5d2fd65b9ab25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 183,310$94,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,520.58 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 47,417$24,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,335.43 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 46,237$22,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,920.99 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 22,055$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,457.39 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 51c | 18,906$9,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,264.12 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 18,775$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,575.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 49c | 16,313$7,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.63 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 13,102$6,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,682.02 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,580$5,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 51c | 9,740$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.31 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 49c | 6,060$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451.93 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 4,250$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.5 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 4,135$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.76 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 3,541$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.09 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 2,234$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Under | 49c | 1,954$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,732$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.23 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.35 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,413$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.31 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,298$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.04 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 1,250$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.91 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Over | 48c | 1,244$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 45c | 1,125$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 52c | 1,111$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.28 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,071$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.59 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 1,042$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.27 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 48c | 536.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.67 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 52c | 507.08$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 499$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.49 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…7056backed Under | 49c | 498.46$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 428.57$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 416$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Over | 49c | 386.59$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 49c | 346.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 329.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 328.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 48c | 323.65$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 303.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 263.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 236.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 52c | 230.76$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 226.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 48c | 199.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 49c | 192$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 52c | 191.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 51c | 168$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 53c | 164.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 154.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 49c | 151.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Under | 52c | 139.39$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 47c | 127$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed Under | 77c | 115.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Under | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Over | 48c | 107$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed Under | 49c | 101.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 52c | 97.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…9f2cbacked Over | 51c | 78.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 46c | 76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Under | 48c | 69.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Under | 48c | 69.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Under | 49c | 63.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 51c | 56.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25d6…04cbbacked Under | 52c | 54.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…1dbebacked Under | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…fa3dbacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Under | 74c | 48.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 46.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 49c | 43.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 49c | 43.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…9f62backed Under | 49c | 42.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5this page
- Islanders vs. CapitalsCapitals won
- Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.