NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Capitals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd34901fca59c19f450ad44aacc7fb766447de37455c063a500f7ffab8ac6634

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Capitalsof Islanders, Capitals
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,273,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,316,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,273,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9976…67dabacked Capitals	55c	439,013$241,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197,555.91	198	48.5%96 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Islanders	45c	300,000$135,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,000	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Capitals	54c	188,205$100,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87,476.01	670	51%342 W · 328 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Islanders	46c	88,000$40,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,479.98	485	45.4%220 W · 265 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Islanders	45c	87,307$39,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,288.34	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Capitals	54c	76,932$41,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,388.65	135	53.3%72 W · 63 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals	55c	76,833$41,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,911.57	243	49.8%121 W · 122 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders	46c	62,101$28,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,563.51	619	50.1%310 W · 309 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders	46c	50,707$23,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,325.26	561	52%292 W · 269 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Capitals	54c	35,177$18,995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,181.35	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Capitals	55c	30,000$16,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,500	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Islanders	45c	23,706$10,668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,667.61	268	49.6%133 W · 135 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Islanders	47c	22,619$10,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,657.75	282	51.8%146 W · 136 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Islanders	46c	21,508$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders	24c	20,474$4,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,857.77	1,345	54.8%737 W · 608 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Capitals	77c	20,221$15,570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,650.85	117	45.3%53 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Capitals	54c	19,849$10,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,130.54	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Capitals	54c	18,241$9,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,390.74	500	49.6%248 W · 252 L	+16.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Islanders	46c	18,000$8,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,280	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Islanders	46c	17,391$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Islanders	46c	15,190$6,987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,987.4	485	49.7%241 W · 244 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Islanders	48c	14,700$7,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,056	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Islanders	45c	13,674$6,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,154.6	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders	0c	11,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,163	2.3%27 W · 1,136 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Capitals	77c	10,100$7,777 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,323	48	66.7%32 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Islanders	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	329	46.8%154 W · 175 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders	46c	9,396$4,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,275.05	540	47.6%257 W · 283 L	-15.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders	46c	9,000$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,140	510	45.5%232 W · 278 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Islanders	46c	8,000$3,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,679.91	617	48.5%299 W · 318 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Islanders	45c	7,965$3,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,584.42	84	50%42 W · 42 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Islanders	11c	7,468$846 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.51	393	44.8%176 W · 217 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Capitals	53c	7,000$3,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,289.9	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Islanders	46c	6,857$3,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,154.22	367	48%176 W · 191 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Islanders	45c	6,574$2,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,958.42	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders	46c	6,500$2,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,989.98	1,087	45.1%490 W · 597 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Islanders	46c	6,000$2,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,760	210	36.2%76 W · 134 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Islanders	45c	6,000$2,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,700	275	48.7%134 W · 141 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Islanders	40c	5,685$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Islanders	46c	5,616$2,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.37	332	43.7%145 W · 187 L	-16.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Islanders	45c	5,586$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.73	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Islanders	46c	5,519$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.74	793	50.1%397 W · 396 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3644…6fdfbacked Capitals	55c	5,008$2,754 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,253.64	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Islanders	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Islanders	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	272	43.4%118 W · 154 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Capitals	55c	5,000$2,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,250	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-7.5wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Islanders	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Islanders	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	139	48.2%67 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Islanders	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	249	45.4%113 W · 136 L	-16.4wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Islanders	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	73	47.9%35 W · 38 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders	39c	4,768$1,865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,864.73	603	37.5%226 W · 377 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Islanders	46c	4,669$2,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,129.44	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Capitals	54c	4,363$2,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,006.98	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Capitals	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Islanders	47c	3,364$1,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.54	412	48.3%199 W · 213 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders	47c	3,333$1,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.51	866	49.9%432 W · 434 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders	45c	3,148$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.04	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Islanders	47c	3,106$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	269	46.1%124 W · 145 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Islanders	23c	3,000$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	333	45.6%152 W · 181 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Capitals	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+6.3wins	+0.22per pick	42cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals	53c	2,648$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,238.26	1,891	52.4%991 W · 900 L	+36.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders	23c	2,600$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598	348	45.4%158 W · 190 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Capitals	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	684	49.9%341 W · 343 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Capitals	79c	2,449$1,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$518.69	2,314	46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Islanders	47c	2,130$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.1	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders	2c	2,090$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	629	51.2%322 W · 307 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Islanders	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Capitals	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Capitals	55c	2,000$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-8.3wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Islanders	47c	2,000$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	81	34.6%28 W · 53 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders	46c	1,938$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.36	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Capitals	54c	1,900$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Islanders	27c	1,885$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.29	950	49.1%466 W · 484 L	+12.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Islanders	2c	1,710$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.85	896	36.9%331 W · 565 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Islanders	48c	1,709$815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.52	388	44.6%173 W · 215 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders	46c	1,600$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	248	45.2%112 W · 136 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Islanders	46c	1,572$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723	318	48.1%153 W · 165 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Capitals	54c	1,540$831 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.52	163	46%75 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Islanders	46c	1,522$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Islanders	45c	1,494$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.3	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Islanders	47c	1,468$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Islanders	46c	1,413$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	281	52%146 W · 135 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Islanders	46c	1,407$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.19	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Capitals	76c	1,339$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.29	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ac1…e8afbacked Capitals	55c	1,190$655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.5	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x293f…3e52backed Islanders	46c	1,100$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Islanders	47c	1,087$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.89	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9719…6ffabacked Islanders	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-5.5wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Islanders	47c	1,070$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.9	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+16.4wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Islanders	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	152	52%79 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Islanders	25c	1,039$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.25	277	39.4%109 W · 168 L	-13.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Capitals	55c	1,000$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450	254	46.5%118 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b5…0e15backed Capitals	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Islanders	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders	46c	1,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Capitals	54c	999.99$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	428	47.2%202 W · 226 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Islanders	45c	978.07$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.79	457	51.6%236 W · 221 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Islanders	12c	970$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.4	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Capitals	54c	925$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.5	619	53.8%333 W · 286 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf074…780cbacked Islanders	46c	850$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Islanders	45c	833.84$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.01	1,555	51.4%800 W · 755 L	+12.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Islanders vs. Capitalsthis page
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
Islanders vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Capitals won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Islanders vs. Capitals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event