South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b9f0aa2d486948d3000686113842d9f4031f2634e42ee66b6d480efb0d2064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 46c | 48,090$21,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,180.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 35,349$19,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,147.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 53c | 4,759$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 2,678$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Over | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 51c | 2,255$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 1,228$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.9 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 47c | 1,162$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.51 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 938.67$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…d650backed Over | 55c | 724.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 45c | 550.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 57c | 397.87$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 57c | 336.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.14 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 49c | 324.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 32c | 310$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 233.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 60c | 228.41$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 58c | 210.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 41c | 183.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Over | 52c | 139.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed Under | 47c | 133$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Under | 38c | 130.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 51c | 125.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Under | 51c | 115.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 46c | 109.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 102.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 53c | 84.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…ea8fbacked Under | 40c | 81.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 58c | 77.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Over | 58c | 76.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 54c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Over | 49c | 56.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…b512backed Over | 60c | 52.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 38c | 49.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed Over | 54c | 48.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 43c | 46.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01aa…ad2fbacked Under | 57c | 38.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +5.8wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 40c | 34.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Under | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 32.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 52c | 31.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x546e…ec0cbacked Over | 57c | 31.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…c9d2backed Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 59c | 29.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 42c | 28.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…5ee7backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 57c | 25.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f63…4fe9backed Under | 46c | 23.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…8ff4backed Over | 60c | 23.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 56c | 21.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Tijuana vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.