Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8399d7c21be3aaba98b6c60b273b58d018556ff4a24505af3f3cf3a188efba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dzumhurof Draxl, Dzumhur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Dzumhur | 55c | 19,247$10,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.1 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…ca34backed Dzumhur | 54c | 10,296$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,738.31 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Draxl | 46c | 6,971$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.11 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Draxl | 42c | 5,029$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.68 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dzumhur | 56c | 5,000$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.34 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Draxl | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Draxl | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Draxl | 0c | 3,843$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Draxl | 26c | 3,606$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.6 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Draxl | 44c | 3,125$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.14 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Draxl | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.98 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Dzumhur | 55c | 2,899$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Draxl | 11c | 2,652$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.59 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Draxl | 33c | 2,516$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Draxl | 47c | 2,406$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.82 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…05adbacked Dzumhur | 49c | 2,345$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Draxl | 19c | 2,342$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Dzumhur | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Draxl | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Draxl | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Dzumhur | 67c | 1,808$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.54 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Draxl | 46c | 1,671$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.61 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Draxl | 44c | 1,504$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.76 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dzumhur | 74c | 1,396$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Draxl | 44c | 1,363$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.72 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Draxl | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Dzumhur | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked Dzumhur | 47c | 1,112$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.22 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Draxl | 44c | 1,088$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.7 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Draxl | 8c | 977.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Draxl | 45c | 950.46$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Dzumhur | 55c | 899.99$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dzumhur | 57c | 873.7$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.71 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Draxl | 58c | 832.92$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.21 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Draxl | 6c | 688.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Draxl | 47c | 643$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Draxl | 45c | 626.7$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.02 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Draxl | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Draxl | 7c | 599.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Draxl | 44c | 597$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.68 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Dzumhur | 64c | 574$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Dzumhur | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Draxl | 35c | 550.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Dzumhur | 53c | 525.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.56 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Draxl | 47c | 505.39$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Draxl | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Dzumhur | 64c | 496.52$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Draxl | 11c | 467.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…61bdbacked Dzumhur | 53c | 465.5$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.68 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Draxl | 43c | 456.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Draxl | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Draxl | 44c | 444$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Draxl | 31c | 439.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.07 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked Draxl | 45c | 400.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Draxl | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Draxl | 8c | 356.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Draxl | 48c | 353$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Draxl | 19c | 333$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Draxl | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Draxl | 45c | 310.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.91 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Dzumhur | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Draxl | 47c | 242.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.42 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Draxl | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Draxl | 53c | 237.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Draxl | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Draxl | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Dzumhur | 53c | 209$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.23 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Draxl | 25c | 201.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Draxl | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32a…dea9backed Dzumhur | 54c | 185.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Draxl | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Dzumhur | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Dzumhur | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Dzumhur | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Draxl | 45c | 160$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Draxl | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Draxl | 55c | 142.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Dzumhur | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed Draxl | 25c | 139.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Dzumhur | 54c | 123.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Draxl | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Draxl | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a4…3fd8backed Draxl | 12c | 104.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Dzumhur | 73c | 102.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Dzumhur | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Dzumhur | 53c | 95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Dzumhur | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Draxl | 46c | 91.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…cf12backed Dzumhur | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…8115backed Dzumhur | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b7…ec2abacked Draxl | 44c | 88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Dzumhur | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Dzumhur | 56c | 86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Dzumhur | 56c | 82.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed Dzumhur | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…2f92backed Draxl | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Dzumhur | 50c | 64.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -16.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Dzumhur | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Draxl | 40c | 58.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Draxl | 46c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Liam Draxl vs Damir Dzumhurthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Draxl vs DzumhurDzumhur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.