TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over50c219,075$110,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,500.52714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-71.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c119,966$59,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,383.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c34,995$17,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,297.51283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+65.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c22,941$11,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,385.4733444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c14,354$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,105.4746644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9002040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c9,941$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,230.9547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c8,509$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,382.7898844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over36c8,234$2,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,237.872544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c6,772$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.6922652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over44c4,568$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.942445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c3,974$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,991.8419345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under65c1,502$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over47c1,311$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.612138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c1,062$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.734937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under52c950$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.224238.1%16 W · 26 L-7.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c936.72$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6530954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…edd4backed Over50c830.33$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over49c750.28$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.641850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c678.43$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.2130536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Over53c672.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c603.19$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5612055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922552%13 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e86…d720backed Over52c563.46$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c555$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.53537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c499.96$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff82…80d6backed Under48c494.1$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under52c491.11$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over30c418.76$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3814060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over52c386.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.95850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Under65c353.91$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.63616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x118d…a1d7backed Over52c330.82$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacad…ee84backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1537162%44 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under51c300$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under50c265.61$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.81100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over37c247.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.083100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over51c230.14$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.778327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over51c206.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.321060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9811457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Under76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.932646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6dd…3ab9backed Over50c199.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over51c183.05$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.572544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over34c182.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under48c182.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.410448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x040b…f8a0backed Under60c169.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.46666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd354…ff2fbacked Under55c142.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.631163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under50c142.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.826162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over72c142.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.78887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+155.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under51c137.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.695156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under51c135$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.856460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under59c134.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6919849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed Over43c133.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed Over53c131.43$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over49c122.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Over51c116.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.123253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1110839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over49c108.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over30c101.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.524818.8%9 W · 39 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc93c…bdb1backed Over52c100.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over50c100.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over51c99.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.554645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under49c93.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.781520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-69.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under50c90.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.93458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under48c83.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3771…3eeebacked Over49c83.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.334740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.639446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc60f…742dbacked Under57c78.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.432846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Under51c78.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f64…8775backed Over54c78.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Under49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under52c77.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.252958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Over49c70.44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…2570backed Over52c70.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over39c68.12$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.576563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3da…c91fbacked Under68c66.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.