Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d01bbe33005d55c69ef97f1f0aca7c0880240421b860b7d2fd4ef4b8f9d447
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 11,060$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.32 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 30c | 2,221$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 28c | 1,535$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.5 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 69c | 1,468$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.46 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 23c | 1,197$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed Over | 18c | 307.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 73c | 291.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 72c | 215.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Under | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 69c | 167$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 68c | 155$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 30c | 142.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Over | 14c | 132$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 65c | 106.8$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 10c | 104.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 104.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 23c | 101.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 33c | 101.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 67c | 93.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 30c | 92.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 84.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 72c | 77.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 25c | 75.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 63.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Over | 32c | 52.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 26c | 50.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 32c | 46.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 35c | 43.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…1cd6backed Under | 70c | 38.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 31c | 33.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Under | 79c | 31.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 71c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Under | 73c | 22.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Under | 62c | 17.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 69c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.