TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,789 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc053…4cccbacked Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over73c3,417$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over73c3,410$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.782740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c2,951$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.8847850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under27c1,894$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.946644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over77c1,550$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under31c1,168$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8875%6 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+109.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c1,058$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3834937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48014060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under26c942.58$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.074355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae4d…254ebacked Over60c900$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.141181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+112.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb197…91c6backed Over77c798.26$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over72c748$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.441861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b9…0e4dbacked Over52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick47cpaid+155.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under29c489.02$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1130536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c485.25$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over62c330.18$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.475048%24 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under36c314.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5322652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Under29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1113100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+112.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under27c281.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.145257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over72c256.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.949065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under20c193.29$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7233444%147 W · 187 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Under32c185.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over63c168.2$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.67548%36 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Under43c164.63$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed Under22c150.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…237dbacked Under31c150.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over71c146.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1410839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over67c139.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.12450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under27c135$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.456460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under21c129.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8119849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over64c125.52$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.874540%18 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa237…9f6fbacked Under33c115.48$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under27c115$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.055156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.243253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa41c…9c75backed Under33c109.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under28c106.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9110160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over53c100.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.382544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over62c99.97$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.994551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under39c98.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.66100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.33458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over68c74.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.586162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.24050%20 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ec…27c4backed Under34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over65c56.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.563860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under32c54.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+24.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0988…f6f9backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.755100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under30c48.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick50cpaid+56.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over79c46.1$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8230954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabee…4f3fbacked Under29c45.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1660%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Under27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5440…edd4backed Over65c38.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+56.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over71c34.92$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.226650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under32c33.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over62c32.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under38c30.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.694940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128048.8%39 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3af…2c0abacked Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over64c26.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.452138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over63c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…04b5backed Over80c23.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed Over72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.833458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over67c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…04d0backed Over78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b58…c920backed Over68c18.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a75…9d4fbacked Over70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.