Australian A League · resolved market
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c14c4f9c2e047df255e2a711e4f9a254ee992136313e3462db5e9e7ea199c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 56c | 1,345$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 29c | 1,319$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 1,092$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 71c | 1,034$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 31c | 883.33$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 69c | 628$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.68 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 72c | 483.84$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 54c | 398.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 50c | 264.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 33c | 205.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 175.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 28c | 173.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 76c | 122.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 28c | 106.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 30c | 84.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 82.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Yes | 71c | 77.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 71c | 69.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 48c | 69.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 64c | 67.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 31c | 59.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 37c | 57.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 76c | 50.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 49.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 73c | 48.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed No | 50c | 46.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 71c | 39.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed No | 33c | 36.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 69c | 32.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 50c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…3462backed Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 71c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Yes | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 71c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United Jets FC (-2.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-1.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Newcastle United Jets FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.