Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bbf1fadeddf1831e42be2a85ce6f6fc103203c13bb35af589cf100a054c5c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Yes | 47c | 21,607$10,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,099.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 52c | 8,355$4,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,375.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 5,961$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.88 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 5,539$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.11 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 3,007$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.98 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,280$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.89 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 2,096$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 51c | 977.99$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 49c | 876.54$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 49c | 814.9$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 46c | 753.61$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7f28backed Yes | 46c | 732.48$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Yes | 57c | 613.42$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 319$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 51c | 293.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 288.42$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.81 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 288$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.71 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 48c | 269.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 46c | 258.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 225.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.81 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -6.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Yes | 47c | 197.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 53c | 186.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked No | 52c | 186.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 49c | 180$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 52c | 178$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 54c | 176$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked No | 55c | 159.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Yes | 52c | 152.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 130$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c5b3backed Yes | 48c | 127.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 63c | 111.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c30…7320backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 47c | 87.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 40c | 87.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed No | 54c | 79.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 78.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 74.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 72.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 57c | 72.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 43c | 70.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 66c | 63.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked No | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 48c | 50.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 56c | 47.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 72c | 43.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 46c | 42.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 56c | 38.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 55c | 35.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Macarthur FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.