AI · resolved market
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d6aa9c99200f929db6f7b20585713162722c1aac273ae2e723593361227170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $472,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 16c | 44,728$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198.75 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…745cbacked No | 0c | 19,551$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d8…ea7cbacked Yes | 76c | 14,696$11,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 13c | 11,157$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked No | 6c | 9,383$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 28c | 8,898$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.54 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 7c | 8,877$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.73 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 8,297$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.76 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 8,109$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 631 | 1.3%8 W · 623 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 31c | 8,066$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.32 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 42c | 7,781$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 13c | 6,592$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.77 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 7c | 6,466$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.05 | 139 | 8.6%12 W · 127 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929d…7ee3backed No | 10c | 5,073$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 19c | 4,776$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.03 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 16c | 4,697$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.58 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 3,897$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.51 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 3,725$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.33 | 1,368 | 6.8%93 W · 1,275 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 3,248$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.34 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 8c | 3,231$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.27 | 481 | 38%183 W · 298 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 3,127$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 201 | 18.9%38 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 10c | 2,873$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.41 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 2,605$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 2,563$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.76 | 179 | 24%43 W · 136 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 54c | 2,461$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 17c | 2,310$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.49 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 2,165$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 259 | 0%0 W · 259 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…169fbacked Yes | 79c | 2,100$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 1c | 2,027$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 16c | 1,873$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.03 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked No | 9c | 1,798$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 10c | 1,660$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 1,555$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 1,477$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 1,365$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 218 | 13.3%29 W · 189 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 11c | 1,296$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…5c1bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 417 | 7.4%31 W · 386 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 1,145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 16c | 1,101$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,093$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.14 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed Yes | 23c | 1,050$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 1,011$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 18c | 902.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 6c | 900.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 60 | 0%0 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 20c | 823.84$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 21c | 772.3$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 79c | 717.89$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 12c | 691.42$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 11c | 667.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 19c | 576$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 25c | 576$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08dd…2555backed Yes | 80c | 574.07$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 3c | 566.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 12c | 555.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 9c | 546.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2688backed No | 16c | 525.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed Yes | 29c | 525$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 9c | 508.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 51c | 500$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…33b2backed No | 20c | 489.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…197abacked No | 33c | 487.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 12c | 483.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.69 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…039abacked Yes | 72c | 435.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 12c | 402$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 166 | 19.3%32 W · 134 L | -21.4wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed No | 11c | 401.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…616dbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 4c | 385.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 14c | 370.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 358.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 34c | 350.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a3bcbacked No | 18c | 345$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 5c | 337$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 6c | 325.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 4c | 309.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 29c | 303.12$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 10c | 300.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…1d6dbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 73c | 299.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfa…7f64backed Yes | 75c | 287.02$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked Yes | 69c | 282$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 29c | 280$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…ae88backed Yes | 76c | 261.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…ae05backed No | 33c | 260$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…cc4dbacked Yes | 67c | 260$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 16c | 258.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 5c | 256.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 25c | 232.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 16c | 229.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 5c | 217.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 6c | 209$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 55c | 182.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 23c | 181.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 17c | 179.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked No | 22c | 175.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 68c | 169.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 59c | 165.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 13c | 158.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.