TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,557
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,557 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Over59c50,697$29,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,865.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c21,121$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,699.692,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c11,387$5,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,058.552,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under41c9,075$3,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,717.094,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under41c7,317$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00035941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c6,567$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over58c5,747$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.5512649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over50c3,200$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60023926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c3,072$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.732,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over58c2,275$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.5913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under42c1,834$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.315556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.396446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over58c1,599$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.51,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.982962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+41.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over57c1,154$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.598050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under41c1,148$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c1,012$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.1745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over58c993$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.0612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over46c971$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under41c854$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over59c689.59$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.731,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under47c685.23$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Under15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over58c663.45$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.658448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under42c589.08$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4110743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.246743.3%29 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c549.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4396645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Over58c521.38$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.986553.8%35 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.478746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Over58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2107131%22 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Over56c420.32$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.942152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16839948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002025%5 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over58c350$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over58c337$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5430059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Under46c334.78$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1543630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under42c322.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over63c310.42$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.861,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over58c298$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.167251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over58c282.76$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7635428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over59c279.66$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.664858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over78c265.39$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6212945.7%59 W · 70 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over58c226$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.9230143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Under49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8259958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over59c177.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked Over52c148.46$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.263941%16 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6d…f0f0backed Under43c141.58$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.881154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over68c130.94$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.919853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Over59c127.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.67162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4114553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418048.8%39 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4127227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4314351%73 W · 70 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd4…b42bbacked Over58c92.02$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.654647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…edb9backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2131746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2140841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f5…700cbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9720864.9%135 W · 73 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c77.4$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3310046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c73.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.071,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Over58c61.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.213842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.822245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over58c55.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1716045.6%73 W · 87 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb56…efa6backed Under33c54.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under43c52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.369053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.723959%23 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1637554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over59c49.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.356527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Over59c44.07$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over72c41.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5489152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over58c39.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6313149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3910…ba74backed Under54c36.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f4…b728backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.484845.8%22 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.486241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4836036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over58c32.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.769455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under43c31.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.498933.7%30 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.