TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,696
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,696 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c15,749$7,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.236,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over37c13,724$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,686.513938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under66c10,006$6,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,557.842,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c8,341$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over36c5,022$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.5650644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2999…277dbacked Over36c2,922$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.721,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e2…ef4fbacked Under69c1,840$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1423926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over56c1,701$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.278050%40 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Over33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0054829.2%14 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over31c1,401$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.8245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under64c1,300$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82952454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over36c1,111$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.1119826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under23c1,104$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.731,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6409042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…f4cdbacked Under73c941.1$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6871241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Under70c720$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50413565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.033354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c602.27$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.982,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over65c539.94$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.982846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906666.7%44 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over57c445$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.357251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over62c417.27$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.274738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Over62c309.13$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.71250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a53…505abacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over45c307$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9419853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1235428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506456.3%36 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.716041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over62c275.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.744850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c266.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.771,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over78c244$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.523868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Under46c219.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Under65c214.83$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under66c190.05$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.438858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over61c182$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6761441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8935328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Under64c138.89$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under55c138$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.142737%10 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over42c125$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under47c123.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0825550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c119.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9981559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0510244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Under65c114.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.171258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over31c107$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4422832.9%75 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over42c99.91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4924158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd72…cc45backed Under16c93.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8613842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under64c91.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over79c90$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c89.01$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9789152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eb2…55a7backed Under25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under64c71.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7333753.1%179 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c7…ffd7backed Under77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over62c62.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.910046%46 W · 54 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.868648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over36c54.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5913045.4%59 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511839.8%47 W · 71 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103959%23 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ce…6b46backed Over64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Under24c43.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over51c38.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8973258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under64c37.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.095556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Over77c35.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0913550.4%68 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over59c34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.946749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab50…6e96backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under45c31.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1518139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under47c31.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.742658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Under65c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1530%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Under65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204161%25 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe40…312ebacked Over36c30.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed Over63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over68c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49b…adf9backed Over52c24.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Over59c23.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.623850%19 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…06c8backed Under65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d46…26d8backed Over62c17.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.722661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over65c17.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0574156.8%421 W · 320 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50aa…70ddbacked Under67c16.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over62c16.27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.182665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.