Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcdfc703c7d50c87633604bd8edbdaca016ee5543d3e3d42b3f2287f9ec2a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 20c | 4,730$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.42 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 2,084$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Over | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over | 77c | 713.71$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 80c | 386.34$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 20c | 219.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 16c | 187.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…576bbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 21c | 87.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 73c | 86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 75.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…6bcbbacked Under | 26c | 55.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.