Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2696bbe26420f46f3329985126ddd48034867ecf09cf8e31674161dddc8d4d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 8,502$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 6,943$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.86 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 5,364$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.07 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 61c | 1,673$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.94 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,557$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 65c | 639$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 38c | 368.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 38c | 318.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 38c | 229.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 190.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes | 61c | 166.59$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…f31ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 68cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 62c | 161.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 158.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…c018backed Yes | 62c | 123.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 110.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 52c | 99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 62c | 74.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 39c | 69.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 58.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Yes | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1bfdbacked Yes | 58c | 49.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Yes | 61c | 49.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed No | 43c | 46.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 62c | 38.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 39c | 38.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 62c | 35.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked No | 40c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…6834backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 58c | 32.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 61c | 30.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…8b14backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked No | 38c | 30.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 62c | 27.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…8fb7backed Yes | 57c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…a213backed Yes | 61c | 24.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…abd9backed Yes | 62c | 18.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.