Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cca853e329560c7b5be6ed3950f879409f01da80c0a956452c61fd29e494508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 9,102$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.86 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 58c | 8,299$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.11 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 7,971$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.26 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 42c | 5,163$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.74 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2f13backed Over | 44c | 4,834$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…6be7backed Over | 35c | 4,825$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 64c | 4,670$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 44c | 3,999$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.42 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 3,554$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.69 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 2,668$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.19 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 43c | 2,530$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 2,226$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.85 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 2,048$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 44c | 1,718$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.21 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 57c | 1,665$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.16 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 58c | 1,636$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 43c | 1,628$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 3c | 1,560$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 60c | 1,246$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 69c | 1,200$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 1,167$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 1,146$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.45 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 48c | 1,034$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.86 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 959.28$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.79 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 58c | 898.71$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 44c | 792.96$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.33 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 31c | 697.02$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.89 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 696.75$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.92 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 58c | 603.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 43c | 561$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.77 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Over | 43c | 470$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.9 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 26c | 418$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.32 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 21c | 396.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.81 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 257.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 236.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 41c | 233.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 45c | 218.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…188ebacked Over | 34c | 217.65$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 43c | 214.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.34 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 48c | 209.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 48c | 201.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 42c | 167.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Under | 56c | 166$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 58c | 157$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 41c | 156.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 142.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 17c | 127.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 41c | 121.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Over | 42c | 115.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 35c | 115$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5500…da1bbacked Under | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 59c | 91.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.63 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…e49cbacked Under | 57c | 90.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef4…3405backed Over | 44c | 75.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…6c91backed Over | 57c | 74.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Over | 43c | 68.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 45c | 66.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 56c | 60.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 34c | 58.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 54.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Over | 35c | 53.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 60c | 47.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…4cc8backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 58c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.