Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a03cf2b24118b5ce70dd1c18acef6e3e83fd241b2aefd09f1bcd0d230a59857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 8,633$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.91 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 35c | 7,206$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.54 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 3,854$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.11 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 66c | 3,566$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.47 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 66c | 2,705$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.61 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 66c | 2,214$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.91 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.95 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 65c | 1,550$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 64c | 1,536$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Over | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 1,485$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 66c | 1,375$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.91 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 34c | 1,316$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.05 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Over | 68c | 999.25$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 34c | 899.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 64c | 754$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.44 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 9c | 736.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 577$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 499.97$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.66 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 65c | 456.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 67c | 398.49$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 67c | 392$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 66c | 378.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +36%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 36c | 340$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Under | 27c | 287.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 65c | 283.61$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.26 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 28c | 267.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 69c | 260.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 65c | 229.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…0bd5backed Under | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 198.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 36c | 170$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Under | 15c | 154.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 65c | 147.73$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 70c | 142.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 131.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…7a94backed Over | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 36c | 105.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 34c | 100.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 95.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 92.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 76.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 68c | 73.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…1879backed Over | 65c | 60.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 60c | 56.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 35c | 54.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 37c | 52.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -7.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 44c | 46.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 73c | 43.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 31c | 43.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 56c | 42.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…42bbbacked Under | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 35c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 34c | 34.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 33c | 32.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…b84abacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 60c | 29.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…6d36backed Under | 45c | 29.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…c95cbacked Over | 66c | 27.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 60c | 24.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…020abacked Over | 70c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 55c | 21.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Over | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 67c | 16.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.