TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,583
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,583 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7298…fe8dbacked No34c5,309$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.968037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…2a73backed No36c1,910$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+95.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c1,779$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.523,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed No3c1,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40220%0 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9927726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No34c1,436$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.8176234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35015540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes66c802.87$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.241,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9a…002bbacked Yes67c793.24$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c1…81a1backed Yes67c759.68$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes66c757.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.613458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1702951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17033340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.545044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes64c457.03$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.654630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c395.27$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.212,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes65c340.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.3430054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes64c331.31$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.351,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes66c316.59$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No34c310.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6281732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0326433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed No8c299.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes65c294.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.166339.7%25 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes71c280.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.319943.2%86 W · 113 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No34c249.98$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9963645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes66c196.29$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2917855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes65c170.38$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.632853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5212271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526768.7%46 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes65c149.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.59062.2%56 W · 34 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes67c149.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.75250%26 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.258246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+31.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Yes64c125.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes66c114.2$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.831,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Yes65c113.31$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.467950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Yes69c104.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No35c97.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346533.8%22 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No27c90.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.419150.5%46 W · 45 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes62c85.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8744655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes66c80$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.24443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764269%29 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…6a00backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x621e…471fbacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes60c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2600…f0dcbacked Yes65c66.2$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf672…c3c4backed No36c61.58$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.172650%13 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No31c55.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1434144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.127452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.458664%55 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9e…10bebacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.455364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No38c45.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2721540.9%88 W · 127 L-15.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb71…434dbacked Yes65c43.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.125261.5%32 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes59c38.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.787463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c54…99bebacked Yes68c35.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.916343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No35c34.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0810244.1%45 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes61c33.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.931752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d04…e037backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No33c31.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4262452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…4f62backed No32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104630.4%14 W · 32 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes66c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No38c30.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5538151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3179…3d2abacked Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Yes68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.419067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc2…3fa2backed Yes75c28.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4683…683fbacked Yes65c27.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Yes67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.393366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2190…bc21backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f77…f9a7backed Yes64c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked Yes80c19.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.844187.8%36 W · 5 L+9.1wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+50.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4017…a665backed Yes66c17.12$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.