La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23dc10bb3d7cad6d710151fe3ec2e7af14d884fb77b5de570dcab4a4eca350b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 5,524$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 42c | 2,177$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Yes | 60c | 1,766$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,189$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.24 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,120$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,117$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 63c | 863.89$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.42 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 751.28$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 43c | 723.48$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.41 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 674.58$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.95 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 56c | 396$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…608fbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Yes | 41c | 319.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.85 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57be…5bb4backed Yes | 60c | 225.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…ee73backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 66c | 197.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 6c | 192$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 73c | 171.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 29c | 165.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 26c | 130.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Yes | 19c | 128.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…7ec0backed Yes | 26c | 110.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c5…e975backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 40c | 106.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 66c | 85.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 84.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…07babacked Yes | 27c | 74.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ded…c5c5backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 45c | 55.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 73c | 52.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 52.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…0101backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 64c | 47.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 35c | 45.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Yes | 60c | 38.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…7330backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee2b…ebd6backed Yes | 64c | 25.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will SD Eibar vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.