La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5edfe8095ef9231036e5ff39bcb13bae2ac69fdccb02ebb304f9a09af2168cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74cd…608fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,124$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 904.52$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 815.35$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.35 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 296.61$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.98 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 24c | 256.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.58 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 207.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 150.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 49c | 125$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 116.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 103.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 89.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 73.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 57c | 67.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 74c | 59.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 64c | 49.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 65cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 30c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked No | 31c | 36.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 76c | 34.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 63c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…1336backed Yes | 70c | 22.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7109…a765backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…aeaabacked No | 71c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.