TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes72c5,282$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.075547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c4,734$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No54c3,648$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.9514954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No54c3,133$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No53c3,001$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.644153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c2,378$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.348,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c1,889$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.111,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes34c1,797$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.2817542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes47c1,788$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.8623435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c1,745$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.482,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes36c1,677$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.471010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes34c1,463$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.8117436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No53c1,409$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.7718742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c1,387$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.771,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes46c1,320$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.613,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.051450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes43c1,198$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.361145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No15c1,075$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-61.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3304949%24 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2adc…0afabacked Yes72c976.78$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x998d…7c1ebacked No57c861.88$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.191050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes42c726.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Yes44c699.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes33c526.52$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.17722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes26c513.58$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8827053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No43c502.59$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.231,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes19c500$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40536727%99 W · 268 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked No10c500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492425%6 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+69.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No22c453$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.662334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4476951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes34c377.41$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes45c350$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes47c335.91$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.991,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed No64c301$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No57c287.51$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.887552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes73c277.11$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes45c257.66$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.662147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No65c219.84$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3727050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes14c151.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c141$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No73c124$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.379657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No62c116.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.844362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No47c115$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5111334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes41c105$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.956468.8%44 W · 20 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+38.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836926.1%18 W · 51 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked No57c99.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9721837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes23c99.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.514613%6 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No50c98.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.471,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes47c98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Yes44c96.06$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.792458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes53c95.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes36c90$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes34c90$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.42035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No38c77.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes65c77.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.230841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ef…0b77backed Yes44c77.27$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes41c73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+100.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes70c71.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.862556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Yes28c70.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.131926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1c5…e975backed Yes42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Yes25c67.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.553452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6720142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes38c65.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.794250%21 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad0…cdc2backed Yes31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No55c59.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.995151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes26c57.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No55c56.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.868842%37 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes23c54.08$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.51978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No57c52.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.827352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0818140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes69c50.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.710767.3%72 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295950.8%30 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafe…757dbacked Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes39c49.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.272548%12 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc60f…742dbacked No53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c94…8467backed Yes45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446654.5%36 W · 30 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ed6…ea84backed No60c41.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Yes49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.813839.9%55 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No54c38.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.356448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3692…2136backed No56c35.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3202…b190backed Yes45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed No53c33.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.991752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes71c30.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.941770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee2b…ebd6backed Yes70c30.02$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7d8…2374backed Yes44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes62c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.410550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed No55c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec20…a563backed Yes47c29.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Yes74c29.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Yes45c29.44$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.196943.5%30 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b8…4666backed Yes45c28.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.