South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe67b7ea128f3c74db79e405a1be4a9ef0facd76c5ceab1c2746f2f0b5e87a5f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 72c | 3,271$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.81 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 17c | 1,900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,620$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 22c | 1,248$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.57 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 76c | 1,247$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,215$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 74c | 1,077$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.43 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked No | 80c | 993.16$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 24c | 942.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 872.36$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.96 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 27c | 751.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 702.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 673.23$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 637.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 16c | 550.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 25c | 481.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 25c | 421$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 23c | 365$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 235$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 224.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 25c | 184.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 12c | 141$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 26c | 109.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 13c | 104.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed Yes | 19c | 97.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Yes | 20c | 93.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 17c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6b…28b6backed Yes | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 24c | 79.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 27c | 75.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…08bcbacked Yes | 25c | 69.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 61.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…5277backed Yes | 27c | 54.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b689backed Yes | 27c | 53.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 45.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe11…f9eebacked Yes | 25c | 41.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…8ad7backed No | 78c | 37.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…d55cbacked Yes | 37c | 37.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 73c | 31.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 16.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…ae9fbacked No | 75c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…c4e5backed No | 74c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…b3a8backed No | 74c | 15.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…62eabacked No | 74c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…bd90backed No | 74c | 14.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…9a08backed No | 75c | 14.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…93ccbacked No | 75c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-12?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-02-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.