TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,368

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No36c33,954$12,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,118.195543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes66c22,048$14,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,463.524663%29 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No21c17,106$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.2664842%272 W · 376 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No32c16,434$5,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,313.412441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+43.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7008…c666backed Yes66c15,230$9,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,239.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes65c11,402$7,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.914641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c8,457$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.732,13045.8%975 W · 1,155 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No25c6,415$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.865,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No24c6,005$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.187,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes64c4,600$2,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64367050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No36c4,236$1,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.095848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No34c2,698$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.22,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8504831.3%15 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No38c2,430$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.480%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes65c2,377$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.8639637.1%147 W · 249 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No35c2,238$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.838457.1%48 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No35c2,189$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.161323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No3c1,950$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5267.7%2 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No18c1,410$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.311,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes64c1,220$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.27448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked No36c1,112$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6194…88b2backed Yes67c1,084$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No33c1,028$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2210854.6%59 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3508844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No32c983.86$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.31,09850.5%554 W · 544 L-36.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.239450%47 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes64c736$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.961457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No15c692$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1851140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Yes66c647.44$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c603.98$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.621,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes66c565.15$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.154468.2%30 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No5c550$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9586960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes63c549.04$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No36c505.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked No35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No37c499.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18511136.9%41 W · 70 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.544757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.557100%7 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes66c442$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…86abbacked Yes70c431.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.471764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes63c403.43$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.274351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No7c389.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick26cpaid+62.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes64c382.1$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.569437.2%35 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes63c342$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5423256.9%132 W · 100 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes63c340$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.81758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes66c333.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.332965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Yes64c319.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x495b…8762backed Yes64c317.97$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No7c308.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.415534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes63c304.79$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.791250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes66c287.88$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.883863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed No8c274.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.723735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…e316backed Yes68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c234.35$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.661,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes65c213.19$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.751,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes78c210$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.346959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes63c206.35$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3536647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010737.4%40 W · 67 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3190…93bbbacked Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6814949%73 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cee…41a8backed Yes63c187.38$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.33887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+33%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No35c178.83$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6213258.3%77 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Yes63c176.58$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.727647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes63c174.6$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+63.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-84.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed Yes66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes64c158.76$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5114954.4%81 W · 68 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…8f70backed Yes64c155.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.298836.4%32 W · 56 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8510456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes75c152$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.725865.5%38 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb66…5e13backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5231860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf064…54a4backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes67c150.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.113265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes67c150.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.548356.6%47 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.58665.1%56 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2514468.8%99 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No33c147.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6157019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No34c144.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4454650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed No35c144.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes64c143.09$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5164143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c28…fc1abacked No36c133.42$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c131.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.892,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No17c121.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0218848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes66c121.21$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.218158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No33c119.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.611,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes68c118.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83a…2ef8backed Yes64c116.53$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes67c113.13$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No12c111.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.283336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.