Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf08075060ea0367169c628d3ed645a56e918be4bfa504d7a5d889064bc6060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 25c | 28,202$7,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,048.76 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 12,477$9,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.49 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 8,821$6,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.81 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 2,499$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.69 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 15c | 1,047$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 599.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 5c | 475.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 399.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 382.1$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 14c | 348.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 9c | 287.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 5c | 213.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 13c | 188.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 183.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 24c | 173.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 155$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 14c | 147$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 76c | 141.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 135$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 24c | 130.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 112.85$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 75c | 112$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 99.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 79c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 38.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 76c | 32.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.