Middle East · resolved market
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6999a40aa7256e0aa795950bd59cf639b111ccf13ec7050365a84357625e094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 59c | 6,194$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.17 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,500$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.14 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac5…cf2ebacked Yes | 57c | 4,266$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.42 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec5…65a8backed No | 66c | 3,965$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…d5e3backed Yes | 73c | 3,213$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.82 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ed…9a89backed Yes | 31c | 2,619$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…3dfbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,410$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 38c | 2,350$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.12 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 37c | 2,236$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.35 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2501…7e28backed No | 53c | 2,221$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.98 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 27c | 2,108$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.1 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 45c | 2,018$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 36c | 2,000$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.25 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…c513backed Yes | 2c | 1,618$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…1274backed Yes | 3c | 1,617$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,617$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 32c | 1,548$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.95 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 66c | 1,489$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.59 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 31c | 1,300$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 34c | 1,286$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.2 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 60c | 1,263$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.92 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 79c | 1,258$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.91 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb796…588cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,251$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked No | 45c | 1,172$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.98 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked No | 50c | 1,125$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,102$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.54 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 47c | 1,041$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.03 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe102…71dfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 948.64$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed No | 40c | 903.85$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.31 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 29c | 871.84$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.25 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…879ebacked No | 24c | 833.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.52 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 49c | 800$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 47c | 780.77$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 31c | 772.57$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.08 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…54ebbacked Yes | 63c | 762.02$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 40c | 759.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 43c | 755.08$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.09 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…78d0backed No | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 32c | 713.71$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.47 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 15c | 699.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed Yes | 64c | 622.68$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…4485backed Yes | 33c | 602.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +152.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…4807backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…28bfbacked No | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…a4a1backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…2d48backed Yes | 10c | 592.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0a…3b4bbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…b68dbacked Yes | 3c | 582$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 578.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 45c | 574.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 9c | 548.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 18c | 524.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 509.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…24f9backed No | 46c | 500$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…8a70backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…9c4dbacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 12c | 464.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 36c | 440$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eec…9a8cbacked No | 56c | 430.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24be…183ebacked Yes | 47c | 424.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8f…b920backed Yes | 60c | 417.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 33c | 402.32$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…d8efbacked No | 35c | 400$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…0d38backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 52c | 393.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 37c | 387.77$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed No | 43c | 367.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…1d1ebacked No | 41c | 360$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…bfc4backed Yes | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 49c | 340.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.37 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -23.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…a4b4backed Yes | 59c | 337.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198a…3ca3backed No | 42c | 331.9$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 24c | 320$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.9 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed No | 40c | 309.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.31 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 32c | 308.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…43b2backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 35c | 300$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.39 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +16.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…b0cabacked Yes | 60c | 298.52$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 67c | 296.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 57c | 296.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…9897backed No | 40c | 289.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…8fbbbacked No | 39c | 285$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 46c | 274$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…00e9backed Yes | 26c | 271.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 4c | 269.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…af7fbacked No | 48c | 266.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7897…4239backed No | 39c | 259.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c7…0e95backed No | 40c | 252.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +13.6wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed Yes | 64c | 250$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 59c | 246.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 87 | 21.8%19 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?this page
- US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.