TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eec…9a8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 51 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$908.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,083Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$4,299.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,829.13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$46.74
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$47.93
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,713.43
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$7,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,086
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$278.2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$1,015.69
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.3
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.45
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$126.88
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+114.3%+$19.75
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.69
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$190.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$94.79
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Niger vs. Mauritania end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.28
Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Spread: Cyprus (-2.5)backed Cyprus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Gibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.47
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotovbacked Pavel Kotov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Dammbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.79
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Elsa Jacquemot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhubacked Katie Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.01
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$276
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.