TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Libema Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Lin Zhu

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Volynetsof Katie Volynets, Lin Zhu
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,028 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Katie Volynets40c5,103$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.44,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lin Zhu51c3,648$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.219,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Lin Zhu46c3,574$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.471,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba55…41f1backed Katie Volynets69c3,300$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0235743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Katie Volynets30c2,999$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.3990435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Katie Volynets46c2,891$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.6721147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Lin Zhu77c2,807$2,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,161.577061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed Katie Volynets69c2,502$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Katie Volynets38c2,470$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.972,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Lin Zhu59c2,325$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.2425451.6%131 W · 123 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Lin Zhu49c2,048$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Lin Zhu32c1,873$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.871,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lin Zhu17c1,807$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.143,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lin Zhu71c1,500$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.849,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Volynets34c1,375$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.76,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Lin Zhu71c1,343$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95024961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Lin Zhu39c1,330$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.991,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katie Volynets50c1,254$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.6111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cef…71b4backed Lin Zhu61c1,218$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.4320045%90 W · 110 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Katie Volynets58c1,033$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.911,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Katie Volynets57c1,011$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.515,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Lin Zhu1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lin Zhu32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3203,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f1…dcbebacked Katie Volynets68c834.08$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.913554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Katie Volynets50c732.18$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9687837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Lin Zhu45c617.11$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.71,09160.2%657 W · 434 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lin Zhu65c614.9$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.314,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lin Zhu47c597.96$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.784,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Katie Volynets34c590.26$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.552,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Katie Volynets58c580.58$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8412369.9%86 W · 37 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lin Zhu35c575.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.096,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Katie Volynets62c573.59$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.962,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Lin Zhu32c499.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.032,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a50…334ebacked Katie Volynets73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lin Zhu72c495.13$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.384,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Katie Volynets68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.181,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453c…b749backed Lin Zhu30c434.51$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.921926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Lin Zhu30c406.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.145744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…481bbacked Lin Zhu36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Katie Volynets53c398.22$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.553,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Lin Zhu76c397.16$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.94,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Katie Volynets38c392.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.2358248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Lin Zhu13c361.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9242125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Katie Volynets37c346$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.012,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Katie Volynets49c340.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.381,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Katie Volynets46c328.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0359965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Katie Volynets43c325.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5824245%109 W · 133 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lin Zhu31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Lin Zhu31c301.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4486050.1%431 W · 429 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Lin Zhu70c288.52$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.341,42555.1%785 W · 640 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Katie Volynets18c284.89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.95,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Katie Volynets70c281.69$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.511,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Lin Zhu35c268.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9448630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Lin Zhu30c267.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5747854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Lin Zhu51c264.47$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.954,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70b…1668backed Lin Zhu80c250.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017957.5%103 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Lin Zhu39c233.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3948858%283 W · 205 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Lin Zhu60c226.35$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Lin Zhu32c221$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Katie Volynets63c220.24$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5222255.4%123 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Katie Volynets70c213.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.048757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Katie Volynets70c212$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.61,22953.1%653 W · 576 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Lin Zhu28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5628031.8%89 W · 191 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Lin Zhu66c200$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc8…adf7backed Lin Zhu33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…22c8backed Lin Zhu29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Katie Volynets33c185.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.331,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Lin Zhu55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Lin Zhu39c179.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7068139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…dc5abacked Lin Zhu43c174.49$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.493930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Katie Volynets18c171.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.551,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x557e…d185backed Lin Zhu33c168.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.814233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lin Zhu62c166.3$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.232,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked Katie Volynets62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2924450.8%124 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Katie Volynets65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8530749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5a…5f11backed Katie Volynets38c152.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.886450%32 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Lin Zhu33c150.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Lin Zhu32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5efd…a583backed Katie Volynets68c141.53$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Lin Zhu60c140$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8415759.9%94 W · 63 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Lin Zhu65c134.06$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1422154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Katie Volynets46c130.25$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0563144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…5696backed Katie Volynets72c129.35$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2221688%190 W · 26 L+35.2wins+0.16per pick72cpaid+22.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Lin Zhu31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Katie Volynets69c125$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.91,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Lin Zhu45c119.5$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0891755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Lin Zhu31c118.49$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.151,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Lin Zhu35c118$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5733352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Katie Volynets68c117.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.562,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3f…829abacked Lin Zhu33c115.45$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Katie Volynets21c109.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.872,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Katie Volynets66c108.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Lin Zhu30c104.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8952135.1%183 W · 338 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Lin Zhu66c104.83$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.675,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a1…32f2backed Lin Zhu57c104.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3215261.8%94 W · 58 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Lin Zhu55c100.93$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5135951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lin Zhu40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Katie Volynets69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3169051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Katie Volynets19c99.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9922359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…2fa1backed Katie Volynets43c96.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.231361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.