TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Croatia vs. Slovenia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No50c16,176$8,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,112.21,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c14,008$10,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes47c9,992$4,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,680.893,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes27c5,919$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.247131%22 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes18c5,419$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.54,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes19c4,435$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8507229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No17c3,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.6912036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No55c2,699$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.6441968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c2,620$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.971,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Yes44c1,670$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.2311065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes33c1,461$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.0335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,401$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.281,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb25…967bbacked Yes15c1,364$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c1,077$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.921166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes29c1,045$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes19c959.11$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.893,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No37c825.02$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.3945039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e1…77acbacked Yes74c743.24$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes20c671.05$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No80c664.02$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.856541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes20c660.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.913,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Yes16c535.71$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.712060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes20c454.74$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.951,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No80c452.71$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7622731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes19c431.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9923729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c426.18$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.121,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No70c414.6$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.071,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No70c329$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.710157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No55c294.6$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.981,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No73c263.5$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2515747.8%75 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes49c252.55$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.072,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes43c249.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3325954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No29c223$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5845947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes33c212.12$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes24c204.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No13c194.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4738960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked No80c189.38$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3516937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed No33c176.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5413247.7%63 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No53c151.96$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.522,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes29c133.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1544435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes26c128.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2916833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259923.2%23 W · 76 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Yes16c116.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…492dbacked Yes20c113$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+224.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c111.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.453,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes20c107.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Yes41c104.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.252231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed No18c103.17$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.669744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes13c103.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.351250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…f72abacked No40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6018038.3%69 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037057.3%212 W · 158 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…fdb6backed Yes29c90.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.262425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Yes20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7160…cce2backed No56c89.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2710354.4%56 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Yes30c79.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.878146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Yes34c74.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2533245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No32c73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6415059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Yes72c70.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.711852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6513450.7%68 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No16c63.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7417223.3%40 W · 132 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2605…6b1bbacked No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.54367.4%29 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes21c61.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes19c57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Yes52c56.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8211450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes18c55.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1035619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes72c53.46$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.499174.7%68 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74e…6215backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bac…3ce7backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105923.7%14 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+73.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159660.4%58 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1928…1171backed Yes76c41.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.61485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick75cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9603…de5ebacked Yes72c34.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.531978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick72cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Yes71c33.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.114870.8%34 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c33.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.522,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eec…9a8cbacked Yes73c27.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd014…c792backed Yes78c26.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.864259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes65c24.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5332055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…d067backed Yes71c21.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75b0…63c6backed Yes73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes77c19.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511552.2%60 W · 55 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5177…a0f6backed No71c18.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.45666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Yes73c17.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No65c17.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8927538.5%106 W · 169 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf3…c10cbacked Yes76c15.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe79c…930ebacked Yes80c12.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010550.5%53 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.