TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

X Money released by April 30, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,693 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34ab…3eb5backed No44c747.7$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.92626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8370…f352backed Yes71c710.69$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d8a…5da8backed Yes30c700.52$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-74.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked No40c623.06$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed No23c573.62$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.912033.3%40 W · 80 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Yes20c533.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7180%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa99…dbbfbacked No25c468.7$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.526354%34 W · 29 L+11.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+59.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c58…13b9backed No58c457.87$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes63c449.15$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed Yes75c447$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.052454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes44c440.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick35cpaid+197.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x695c…10a1backed No32c428$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.115221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9331…b246backed Yes74c407.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes46c403.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0525837.6%97 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eec…9a8cbacked Yes73c378.5$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc219…02ecbacked Yes56c339.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked No79c306.28$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.553040%12 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes69c299.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.983540%14 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x714f…66d5backed No26c283.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.667030%21 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Yes51c273.96$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9392…c94dbacked Yes74c271.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6f7…87aebacked Yes76c268.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.831010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-82.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No27c246.8$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.410338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67a9…c417backed No33c225.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+74.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No32c200.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.591,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No50c199.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.997951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No69c189.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.275644.6%25 W · 31 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc327…31f5backed No59c185.21$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.434022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed No38c165$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.588257.3%47 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed No72c141.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.053956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+304.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes49c136.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes51c117$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+123.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb1…1b1dbacked No31c112.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+147.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3428…0bfabacked Yes79c107.36$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9efb…d189backed No65c106.09$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed No52c104.41$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.128933.7%30 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba38…f74dbacked No27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…9705backed No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac90…5d06backed Yes67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71fc…1951backed No25c99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.43475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+89%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes20c95.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-72.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53a3…e5afbacked Yes23c94.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.453438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed Yes57c87.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.995341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes39c86.63$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.116010%6 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-72.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b6…bccebacked No35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes42c84.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7617350.3%87 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes32c84.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.842516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7efb…68a1backed No40c76.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.691442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee57…b2b6backed No25c72.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x083f…a55fbacked No30c66.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.833221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-40.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff18…9382backed No52c65.54$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No33c64.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2920418.6%38 W · 166 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b14…4146backed Yes59c60.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed No36c59.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes46c56.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0620731.9%66 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f03…d3eebacked Yes62c55.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed Yes42c51.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.256033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5517…760ebacked Yes32c50.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf80e…4d24backed Yes78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked No56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dec…dbffbacked No75c43.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6173…1a16backed No75c42.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6078…dbaebacked Yes60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1abb…5466backed Yes46c41.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.963551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1029…9b36backed Yes44c38.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.744139%16 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No33c38.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3620544.4%91 W · 114 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fe…a38fbacked No69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…b95fbacked No47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.081968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+54.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3082…9446backed No55c35.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.894339.5%17 W · 26 L-10.9wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-37.1%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes39c31.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323540%14 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e2…be4bbacked Yes63c31.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed No38c31.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd7…f8bfbacked Yes74c31.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b43…33cebacked No69c30.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.456783.6%56 W · 11 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+22.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes44c29.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0789317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x6157…c668backed Yes70c28.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-72.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No66c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.523151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No46c27.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0125122.7%57 W · 194 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No40c27.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.573432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-47.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xae1f…04f1backed No49c26.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd43e…3604backed No45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x336f…c31ebacked Yes53c24.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.012128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Yes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b5d…fbb6backed No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.321687.5%14 W · 2 L+5.4wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+52.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x507b…0742backed Yes60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes59c18.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.