Tennis · resolved market
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd5a12477fa583d74e7800c2f76babdac1ec1954f298d3892f6c66d4a1738e49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marin Cilicof Marin Cilic, Denis Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $768,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marin Cilic | 24c | 26,733$6,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,193.66 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 20,299$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.35 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…24fdbacked Marin Cilic | 60c | 14,089$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.55 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 65c | 13,149$8,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,594.15 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 10,141$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.43 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 72c | 9,579$6,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,924.77 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Marin Cilic | 60c | 9,195$5,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681.37 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Denis Shapovalov | 74c | 9,054$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…61f4backed Marin Cilic | 16c | 8,654$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,291.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 8,081$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.25 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Denis Shapovalov | 41c | 6,595$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.78 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 5,371$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.41 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Marin Cilic | 43c | 5,270$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.43 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 4,749$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.51 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Denis Shapovalov | 65c | 4,718$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085.25 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 4,335$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.98 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…f8babacked Denis Shapovalov | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marin Cilic | 73c | 3,977$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.72 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Denis Shapovalov | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Denis Shapovalov | 49c | 3,316$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Marin Cilic | 41c | 3,282$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.38 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 3,243$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.62 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Denis Shapovalov | 49c | 3,140$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Marin Cilic | 16c | 3,100$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…5fb9backed Marin Cilic | 54c | 2,750$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Denis Shapovalov | 47c | 2,732$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.46 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Denis Shapovalov | 44c | 2,554$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.08 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…e4ddbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 2,538$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Marin Cilic | 15c | 2,454$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.02 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Marin Cilic | 42c | 2,392$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.66 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Denis Shapovalov | 40c | 2,364$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.9 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marin Cilic | 37c | 2,296$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.81 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 2,273$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.94 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Denis Shapovalov | 50c | 2,211$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.13 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Marin Cilic | 38c | 2,203$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.57 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Marin Cilic | 58c | 2,040$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Marin Cilic | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Marin Cilic | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Denis Shapovalov | 39c | 1,936$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.7 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…6a74backed Marin Cilic | 39c | 1,831$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.67 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 1,813$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.85 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Denis Shapovalov | 79c | 1,766$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.86 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Marin Cilic | 57c | 1,764$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.4 | 310 | 56.1%174 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4778backed Marin Cilic | 11c | 1,734$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.34 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 1,717$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…3c8fbacked Marin Cilic | 47c | 1,703$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 67c | 1,645$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.14 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Marin Cilic | 58c | 1,595$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.44 | 553 | 57.3%317 W · 236 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Marin Cilic | 62c | 1,572$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.66 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Marin Cilic | 42c | 1,488$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.2 | 337 | 53.7%181 W · 156 L | +21.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Marin Cilic | 17c | 1,487$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.79 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…2928backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 1,417$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.11 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 1,393$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Marin Cilic | 31c | 1,364$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.39 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Marin Cilic | 27c | 1,338$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.82 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marin Cilic | 40c | 1,314$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.8 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Denis Shapovalov | 25c | 1,284$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Denis Shapovalov | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marin Cilic | 51c | 1,217$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Marin Cilic | 52c | 1,204$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.75 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Denis Shapovalov | 51c | 1,201$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.14 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…cfa1backed Denis Shapovalov | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Denis Shapovalov | 63c | 1,157$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.93 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Marin Cilic | 15c | 1,148$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.87 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Denis Shapovalov | 44c | 1,133$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.37 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marin Cilic | 18c | 1,133$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.74 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b0…072ebacked Marin Cilic | 27c | 1,116$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.81 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Denis Shapovalov | 39c | 1,108$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 1,106$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.37 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Marin Cilic | 7c | 1,100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 385 | 22.3%86 W · 299 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Marin Cilic | 26c | 1,083$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.11 | 488 | 58%283 W · 205 L | +24.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 40c | 1,063$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Marin Cilic | 13c | 1,058$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.53 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 1,039$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.94 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 51c | 1,022$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Marin Cilic | 59c | 1,011$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.34 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Marin Cilic | 61c | 1,009$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.41 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Marin Cilic | 6c | 1,006$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.1 | 319 | 36.4%116 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Marin Cilic | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Denis Shapovalov | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Marin Cilic | 55c | 999.99$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Marin Cilic | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 989.69$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.71 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…910dbacked Marin Cilic | 64c | 969.88$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Marin Cilic | 67c | 959.81$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.74 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Marin Cilic | 5c | 951.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.19 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Marin Cilic | 20c | 950$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Denis Shapovalov | 44c | 933.97$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.42 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Marin Cilic | 60c | 921.65$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.66 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 920.81$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.74 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Denis Shapovalov | 64c | 900$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Denis Shapovalov | 68c | 872.1$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.19 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Marin Cilic | 23c | 854.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Marin Cilic | 59c | 841.12$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.86 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Marin Cilic | 15c | 831.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.58 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Marin Cilic | 30c | 830.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.11 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovthis page
- Marin Cilic vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cilic vs ShapovalovShapovalov won
- Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)Shapovalov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.