TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa398…6c83backed Yes17c24,347$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,218.422437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb6…f90bbacked No54c9,013$4,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.752458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8893…be06backed Yes46c9,013$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.752540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No53c4,193$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.9132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No69c3,670$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.4212036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Yes11c3,028$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.14327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes67c2,823$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.864,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c2,598$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.042,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes10c2,496$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.320560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes13c2,113$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.513,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Yes29c2,063$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.0734731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Yes14c1,532$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.516937.3%63 W · 106 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes53c1,505$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3512248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No73c1,434$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.9819939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes50c1,341$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.615763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes14c1,331$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b8c…28a8backed Yes25c1,224$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes61c1,155$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No80c998.26$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6540736.6%149 W · 258 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…1764backed Yes9c973$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid+277.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes14c855.75$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8115335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes8c779.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9226534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes77c767.79$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.592,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No56c751.59$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5517513.7%24 W · 151 L-19.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No71c699.48$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.832,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bb…9302backed Yes14c610.73$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.18654.7%47 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No40c571.17$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.511,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Yes14c557.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed Yes17c529.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+82.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Yes13c499.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Yes27c480.89$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0766…77dcbacked Yes17c446.79$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.683221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c419$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No68c416.26$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6637644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes13c400$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.823820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes13c399.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9914119.9%28 W · 113 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes52c379.16$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.727057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Yes56c378.63$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1639039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes16c369.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.679548.4%46 W · 49 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No52c368.33$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2813542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes54c367.56$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7210157.4%58 W · 43 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes11c360.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.994858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No42c357$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0613552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes37c350.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.225954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50ab…144bbacked Yes21c348.48$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.58122.2%18 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Yes21c331.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2570948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No54c321.59$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2120250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed Yes26c319.23$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No56c306.22$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5687837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112729.9%38 W · 89 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes53c299.74$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7624849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No75c278.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.772,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Yes14c278.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393625%9 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Yes8c270.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.667659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes14c247.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.441,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes15c246.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376839.7%27 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes76c246$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9646562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes14c239.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.251,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes12c239.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7418943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes55c230.04$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8123363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No18c228.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0445947.7%219 W · 240 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f9…6d50backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153129%9 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes48c193.7$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9825865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Yes15c193.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296320.6%13 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes22c192.98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.991,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes52c191.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.368058.8%47 W · 33 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No75c190.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.726147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes13c184.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2419120.9%40 W · 151 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No17c173.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.411233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+126.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a07…1d4dbacked No23c171$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7913231.8%42 W · 90 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes16c158.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9cd…5260backed Yes29c157$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-77.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed No68c151$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6127145.8%124 W · 147 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Yes58c149.59$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.161822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e8…6f45backed No78c149.05$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes55c137.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2438960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes15c133.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101659.7%16 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde48…9dbebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010932.1%35 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d41…5863backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Yes13c124.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick14cpaid+224.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed No47c118.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7415459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked No47c108$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3415059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb46f…3ab4backed Yes14c106.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes76c106.88$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2322951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…cec1backed Yes10c104$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010524.8%26 W · 79 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes48c103.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4928964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes17c101.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1419225%48 W · 144 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108231.7%26 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144216.7%7 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5898439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d39…a150backed Yes15c96.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.474918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes54c94.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.211,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.