World Politics · resolved market
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2995999537ed00a9e1ed196dac5a34c8362b9e454200968eb123c60d21530d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,832,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,767,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,832,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf251…779cbacked No | 19c | 59,860$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,085.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 35,482$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.24 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…06e4backed No | 3c | 27,763$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.53 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f6…7dd5backed No | 19c | 22,641$4,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…991bbacked No | 9c | 22,031$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked No | 6c | 21,168$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.05 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…865cbacked No | 1c | 20,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…21b3backed No | 13c | 19,489$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 19,150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920f…279bbacked No | 9c | 18,218$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 7c | 18,179$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.75 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…e18abacked No | 0c | 16,771$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…c844backed No | 5c | 15,771$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.89 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…d1efbacked No | 12c | 15,764$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked No | 8c | 15,401$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…0cf5backed No | 10c | 13,824$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…6430backed No | 20c | 12,800$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd7…6497backed Yes | 79c | 10,915$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…f306backed No | 6c | 10,607$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a05…0eedbacked No | 7c | 10,529$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 10,496$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.44 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c7…ec62backed No | 20c | 10,063$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…236dbacked No | 10c | 9,745$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 3c | 9,695$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.36 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…d23abacked No | 10c | 9,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 79c | 9,515$7,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.4 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…a00ebacked No | 19c | 9,396$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…f15ebacked No | 15c | 9,287$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…1dabbacked No | 24c | 8,242$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc6…7b8bbacked No | 13c | 7,861$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 11c | 7,489$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.06 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked No | 7c | 7,326$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…196abacked No | 2c | 7,071$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…eef3backed No | 7c | 6,942$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…2f14backed No | 7c | 6,667$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…a271backed Yes | 76c | 6,384$4,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a13…ea35backed No | 28c | 6,348$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…1ec4backed No | 16c | 6,273$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 11c | 6,054$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.01 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa97…22adbacked No | 10c | 6,030$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ea…bf68backed No | 15c | 5,705$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…6f50backed Yes | 77c | 5,577$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc4…fb4dbacked No | 18c | 5,483$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…49e9backed No | 13c | 5,431$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed No | 2c | 5,267$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…661fbacked No | 17c | 5,166$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…ee51backed No | 16c | 5,065$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…5f01backed No | 10c | 4,892$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…73a0backed No | 21c | 4,853$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5876backed No | 9c | 4,697$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed No | 12c | 4,626$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.71 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…558abacked Yes | 78c | 4,559$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdece…d9e1backed No | 1c | 4,546$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…e884backed No | 7c | 4,400$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +1,624.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…6a9ebacked No | 4c | 4,366$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 79c | 4,352$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed No | 23c | 4,270$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…f32abacked No | 8c | 4,245$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988f…d86fbacked No | 9c | 4,237$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 5c | 4,211$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.55 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efa…0d39backed Yes | 77c | 4,168$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…1d08backed Yes | 78c | 4,162$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…263ebacked No | 4c | 4,091$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaed…db5cbacked No | 11c | 4,007$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed Yes | 78c | 4,000$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.02 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…b156backed No | 9c | 3,989$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…1cb4backed No | 4c | 3,974$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 16c | 3,943$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.39 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…ffe2backed No | 10c | 3,938$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…2b53backed No | 13c | 3,892$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…4ddabacked No | 11c | 3,862$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ec…0bdabacked No | 10c | 3,775$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…26cdbacked No | 2c | 3,756$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4ebbbacked No | 24c | 3,752$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed No | 6c | 3,730$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…b092backed No | 4c | 3,694$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…3dbdbacked No | 7c | 3,645$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked No | 11c | 3,617$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed No | 0c | 3,600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…c935backed No | 19c | 3,583$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 21c | 3,505$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…6016backed No | 4c | 3,502$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…33bebacked No | 9c | 3,438$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e34abacked No | 5c | 3,431$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 2c | 3,355$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 12c | 3,346$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ed…15c1backed No | 10c | 3,234$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…6969backed No | 5c | 3,174$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 14c | 3,140$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 3,135$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…718ebacked No | 7c | 3,132$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6182…7c52backed No | 5c | 3,120$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…fe15backed No | 13c | 3,117$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f00…122abacked No | 9c | 3,093$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…9c87backed No | 8c | 3,059$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41c…fb0bbacked No | 10c | 3,024$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 3,023$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…ac1bbacked No | 10c | 3,015$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…ea32backed No | 10c | 3,010$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…92d8backed No | 6c | 3,008$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.