World Politics · resolved market
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a00aea8c3beebfbd78428ed9794389a6064031b3b4498ecee8f1e2567960c52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $661,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $661,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,855$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…865cbacked Yes | 0c | 34,291$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4be…5714backed Yes | 0c | 31,076$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…a146backed Yes | 10c | 23,375$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e9…3cf1backed Yes | 0c | 17,954$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 16,060$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,660$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…1d15backed Yes | 21c | 12,205$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d4…0338backed Yes | 0c | 12,054$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Yes | 0c | 11,583$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…608abacked Yes | 1c | 11,022$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 10,244$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…b885backed Yes | 0c | 10,177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…661fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…06e4backed Yes | 1c | 7,975$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 0c | 7,734$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…46c4backed Yes | 1c | 7,531$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 0c | 5,589$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 5,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 4,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1c…2c9bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,669$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…2b04backed Yes | 0c | 3,526$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 3,462$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…3b61backed Yes | 7c | 3,383$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…7840backed Yes | 0c | 3,130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…bd43backed Yes | 11c | 2,972$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.87 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…f776backed Yes | 1c | 2,882$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 2,827$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…1256backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…a5d1backed Yes | 0c | 2,731$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…ce12backed Yes | 1c | 1,950$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 1c | 1,931$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 1,834$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,697$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.87 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,550$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,464$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…2c83backed Yes | 1c | 1,450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…3fd8backed Yes | 5c | 1,442$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 1,425$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,291$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 80 | 3.8%3 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…b23ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,272$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…51fbbacked Yes | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 23cpaid | +156%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…5654backed Yes | 18c | 1,075$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…a88fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…1a1cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,058$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb5…f355backed Yes | 9c | 1,035$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 1,004$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41a…d5e0backed Yes | 12c | 938.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…f845backed Yes | 15c | 817.52$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…8bebbacked Yes | 6c | 797.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c6…bb3fbacked Yes | 13c | 761.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc026…6da4backed No | 53c | 710.6$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…2c1ebacked Yes | 11c | 649.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…5483backed Yes | 2c | 644.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaae…c925backed No | 42c | 622.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…41a3backed Yes | 10c | 608.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x756a…c2dbbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…edd6backed Yes | 11c | 588.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e7…3a97backed Yes | 17c | 586.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…9e24backed Yes | 34c | 577.08$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…2e31backed Yes | 14c | 528.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 15c | 511.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…538fbacked Yes | 7c | 510.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 4c | 491.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6048…8513backed Yes | 12c | 436.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…06d2backed Yes | 7c | 419.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…6574backed Yes | 11c | 356.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…3a75backed Yes | 12c | 350.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…35bebacked Yes | 9c | 343$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 310.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 347 | 26.8%93 W · 254 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…fb76backed Yes | 9c | 301.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 12c | 300.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…5958backed Yes | 12c | 300.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 13c | 282.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…6f06backed Yes | 12c | 256.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…2d37backed No | 78c | 255.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb7…f7d0backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…1144backed Yes | 15c | 244.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…5adcbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…c3dcbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…abaabacked Yes | 10c | 211.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…c6dfbacked Yes | 10c | 209.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd7…7842backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…71b6backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…594bbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…4265backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…5e16backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…3954backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe55…1208backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…25b8backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…1a32backed Yes | 8c | 183.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…ae17backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…d55fbacked Yes | 6c | 176.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…b079backed Yes | 17c | 169.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9575…0013backed No | 43c | 157.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes won
- Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.