World Politics · resolved market
Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae925d37e63269e3b10a21ca58a6e03603e9de7dd1ae2c1b6f3379ebf77cfc50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,087,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,838,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,087,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4a2…6689backed Yes | 5c | 33,364$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…661fbacked Yes | 5c | 30,787$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f7…26cdbacked Yes | 4c | 30,646$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4222…cf8abacked Yes | 2c | 29,560$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.49 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 4c | 23,702$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.28 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…2a8ebacked Yes | 5c | 15,996$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 14,989$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.24 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…06e4backed Yes | 4c | 14,822$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 14,283$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.6 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…585abacked Yes | 7c | 13,656$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…6430backed Yes | 19c | 12,862$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…0122backed Yes | 7c | 12,266$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3fbfbacked Yes | 7c | 9,882$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 9,273$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.87 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…d12ebacked Yes | 8c | 8,000$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…1051backed Yes | 7c | 7,253$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…9a8cbacked Yes | 16c | 7,017$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…ee51backed Yes | 6c | 6,838$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23da…74ebbacked Yes | 6c | 6,786$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed55…a194backed Yes | 4c | 5,546$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…f838backed Yes | 8c | 5,451$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f6…d494backed Yes | 17c | 5,441$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0761…718ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,368$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…dd69backed Yes | 8c | 5,203$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…fc3bbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…8fcabacked Yes | 9c | 4,951$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5f…8fa7backed Yes | 3c | 4,950$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…0f65backed Yes | 4c | 4,947$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40e…4194backed Yes | 7c | 4,836$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Yes | 22c | 4,826$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63a…45ddbacked Yes | 8c | 4,815$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…d88ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,766$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +594.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906c…662bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,654$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…3258backed Yes | 3c | 4,626$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa783…cb29backed Yes | 7c | 4,495$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…efaabacked Yes | 9c | 4,327$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…1571backed Yes | 9c | 4,151$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…c87abacked Yes | 7c | 4,120$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 78c | 4,081$3,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…ed86backed Yes | 8c | 4,043$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…73c0backed Yes | 7c | 3,998$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…a635backed Yes | 5c | 3,953$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…1d4ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,913$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…b5d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,876$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8579…ba8ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,873$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…9914backed Yes | 6c | 3,858$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…116bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,857$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fda…4752backed Yes | 13c | 3,853$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396b…4c0abacked Yes | 9c | 3,753$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…c21ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,706$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…9009backed Yes | 7c | 3,667$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 17c | 3,633$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…ea84backed Yes | 7c | 3,609$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efa…d266backed Yes | 8c | 3,597$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…ad4cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,587$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…c307backed Yes | 6c | 3,575$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8305…6843backed Yes | 8c | 3,528$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…d9fdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,506$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…8ce3backed Yes | 4c | 3,463$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…1a41backed Yes | 7c | 3,424$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…c4d8backed Yes | 8c | 3,414$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…dc09backed Yes | 8c | 3,377$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7ffdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,366$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…c41abacked Yes | 9c | 3,365$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…5d15backed Yes | 7c | 3,364$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0621…2d28backed Yes | 8c | 3,360$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708f…dd7dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,329$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…7678backed Yes | 7c | 3,327$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…104dbacked Yes | 7c | 3,310$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…64bcbacked Yes | 9c | 3,299$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…cc2cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,289$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8003…c6f8backed Yes | 4c | 3,284$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…5d61backed Yes | 2c | 3,277$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5469…2aa0backed Yes | 6c | 3,250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…5179backed Yes | 4c | 3,248$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022f…2cf6backed Yes | 9c | 3,227$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…ba48backed Yes | 8c | 3,193$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181d…9db6backed Yes | 6c | 3,189$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904c…eb57backed Yes | 5c | 3,132$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…b218backed Yes | 9c | 3,122$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…e6edbacked Yes | 11c | 3,116$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003a…0f69backed Yes | 7c | 3,082$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…2460backed Yes | 7c | 3,072$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65db…62d3backed Yes | 3c | 3,067$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 7cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…0e8dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,065$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Yes | 11c | 3,031$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…fd95backed Yes | 9c | 3,028$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…ac40backed Yes | 9c | 3,023$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…ca55backed Yes | 8c | 3,012$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…4a34backed Yes | 3c | 2,983$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…3135backed Yes | 9c | 2,983$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe263…8ad6backed Yes | 8c | 2,981$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe56…d412backed Yes | 8c | 2,926$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…72bcbacked Yes | 11c | 2,906$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.88 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fe…a025backed Yes | 9c | 2,902$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…c208backed Yes | 7c | 2,860$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…4a89backed Yes | 8c | 2,838$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…7f22backed Yes | 4c | 2,829$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bf…6a05backed Yes | 3c | 2,810$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?this page
- Will Lê Hoài Trung be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes won
- Will Lương Tam Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Nguyễn Hòa Bình be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
- Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.