Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3dee8023f2133e771d7463de680af51f363739fa295040c44ce2eb6931f0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coalesceof Coalesce, Twisted Saints Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Coalesce | 68c | 8,273$5,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.82 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa502…8c2bbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…a7d5backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 1,490$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Coalesce | 68c | 1,488$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 1,416$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 854.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Coalesce | 66c | 567.82$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 558.26$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 472.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Coalesce | 66c | 387$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 349.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 319.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Coalesce | 66c | 313.08$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 284.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 230.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 224.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Twisted Saints Esports | 34c | 222$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 201.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…fd05backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 180.33$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Coalesce | 68c | 152.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…ea80backed Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 149$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 131.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Twisted Saints Esports | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3796…006cbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 79.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…cea3backed Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…0574backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Coalesce | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Coalesce | 69c | 55.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…da94backed Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 51.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Twisted Saints Esports | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Twisted Saints Esports | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…5abdbacked Twisted Saints Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Coalesce | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Coalesce | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Coalesce | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0e…a151backed Coalesce | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Coalesce | 66c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…88fdbacked Coalesce | 69c | 16.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Athis page
- Valorant: Coalesce vs Twisted Saints Esports - Map 2 WinnerCoalesce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.