TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ECSTATICof MOUZ NXT, ECSTATIC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce7a…75d7backed MOUZ NXT44c6,118$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,672.983756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed ECSTATIC62c3,905$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.1226046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ECSTATIC72c3,084$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.773,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed ECSTATIC56c2,540$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.6519549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked MOUZ NXT45c2,204$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed MOUZ NXT19c2,012$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.981656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC57c1,065$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.157,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed MOUZ NXT29c1,030$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed ECSTATIC55c982$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2227348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ECSTATIC57c921.07$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1146143.4%200 W · 261 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed ECSTATIC68c872.53$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.112359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked MOUZ NXT25c847.64$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21418336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed ECSTATIC61c764.54$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0285446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed MOUZ NXT46c649.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.879058.9%53 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed ECSTATIC59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2465257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked ECSTATIC56c598$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6412449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked MOUZ NXT42c589.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25019043.7%83 W · 107 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed MOUZ NXT42c588$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9612538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed MOUZ NXT43c558.24$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0625733.9%87 W · 170 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed ECSTATIC56c550.37$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6639851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ECSTATIC65c543.74$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.884,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT46c399$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.545,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed ECSTATIC54c399$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.5426952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT33c377.41$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.816,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d1c…5c3dbacked MOUZ NXT26c352.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed MOUZ NXT33c305.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10224038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked ECSTATIC58c290.78$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4910445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed ECSTATIC58c237.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9310651.9%55 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked MOUZ NXT42c237.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9332536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked MOUZ NXT43c233.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88e…08f3backed MOUZ NXT43c233.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed ECSTATIC48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042944.8%13 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ NXT49c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.861054.6%333 W · 277 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…0470backed ECSTATIC61c188.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1914863.5%94 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked ECSTATIC56c179.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1865662.3%409 W · 247 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT43c167.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.251,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT43c166.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked ECSTATIC77c151.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9397952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed ECSTATIC50c151.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.251,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed MOUZ NXT45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.59251.1%47 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed MOUZ NXT21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0518943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe6…ea6fbacked MOUZ NXT34c140$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6d2ebacked MOUZ NXT24c127.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.622524%6 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed ECSTATIC53c122.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4938452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed MOUZ NXT47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed ECSTATIC56c104.73$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.734055%22 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ NXT44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4470038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked ECSTATIC55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.996152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96d…cf14backed MOUZ NXT45c99.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.993953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed ECSTATIC54c92.07$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7810546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ECSTATIC64c90.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.875,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ NXT43c86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9812651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee25…5abdbacked MOUZ NXT48c85.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.061353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…0d66backed MOUZ NXT24c85.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.518444%81 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed ECSTATIC56c84$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5495649.7%475 W · 481 L-18.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed ECSTATIC61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9711450.9%58 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed MOUZ NXT23c81.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked ECSTATIC57c81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.021947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed ECSTATIC62c80.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8669863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf926…fb21backed MOUZ NXT42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…eae3backed MOUZ NXT19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.92356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8d…8592backed ECSTATIC60c67.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.933073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked ECSTATIC67c66.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4145956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed ECSTATIC57c60.39$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.974273.8%31 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed MOUZ NXT45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2318254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36fa…1125backed MOUZ NXT46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fe…54f8backed MOUZ NXT22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117843.6%34 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2baf…f66ebacked ECSTATIC49c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x112e…f18cbacked MOUZ NXT36c42.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ NXT49c41.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051949.1%255 W · 264 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5356…8429backed MOUZ NXT26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked ECSTATIC55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3633657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed MOUZ NXT37c34.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6869732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ NXT38c33.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.772,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa24d…e8c3backed MOUZ NXT60c33.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad1…d1a1backed MOUZ NXT41c29.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed ECSTATIC59c28.27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7315765%102 W · 55 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa04e…3550backed ECSTATIC44c26.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed ECSTATIC75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked MOUZ NXT45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c74…c217backed MOUZ NXT45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.253240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31e6…a23ebacked ECSTATIC55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1512…68f3backed ECSTATIC53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.429153.6%156 W · 135 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaef…db07backed ECSTATIC54c18.72$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.616177%47 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.